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[NL2-NL10] nl4sh K10s IP 3bet pot

    • EnterG
      Joined: 26.01.2010 Posts: 632
      Boss, $0.02/$0.04 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (BTN): $6.16 (154 bb)
      SB: $3.98 (99.5 bb)
      BB: $9.20 (230 bb)
      MP: $4.20 (105 bb)
      CO: $5.02 (125.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with K T
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.12, SB calls $0.10, BB raises to $0.48, Hero calls $0.36, SB calls $0.36

      Flop: ($1.44) Q T 7 (3 players)
      SB checks, BB bets $0.84, Hero calls $0.84, SB folds

      Turn: ($3.12) A (2 players)
      BB bets $2.04, Hero calls $2.04

      River: ($7.20) 9 (2 players)
      BB bets $5.84 and is all-in, Hero folds

      $7.20 pot ($0.72 rake)
      Final Board: Q T 7 A 9
      Hero mucked K T and lost (-$3.36 net)
      BB mucked and won $6.48 ($3.12 net)

      On the SB there is a HUGE fish who will call a 3bet almost 100%.(vpip 94% in 100 hands,0 fold to 3bet).
      Opponent OOP and deep stack 3bet size is 3.5-4bb.
      I am against an aggressive reg .
      Stats vpip/pfr/3bet from BB/af/hands/wts/w$sd : 23/18/9.5/2.8/2600/28/47.

      1)Should i just fold pre and don't get into trouble ?

      2)Should i 4bet/bluff ? I sometimes do this against this opponent and he usually folds.He goes broke (5bet) pre only with premium hands against full stacks AK,QQ+.Against very short stackers maybe a little wider range.i haven't seen him ever calling 4bet.
      Opponent cbet flop around 80%.Turn about 40%.
      Sometimes when he 3bets OOP with hands like Q4s he check / fold all the way with zero outs.

      3)So in this flop i think he would make a cbet.I hit mid pair and some backdoors on flop .Should i raise/fold maybe to get info ?

      4)What should i do on this turn and this size bet i had to call ? Pair+nuts fd+gutshot.On turn i think i have about 2.5 to 1 to call but with this opponent play i think he would make a river bet 100%.So i would win another 2.8$ on the river if i hit.I 've seen him when he bet flop + turn in 3bet pots he bets/broke on river almost always.
      So on the river the pot would be 10$ with his bet.So on the turn i call 2 to win 10 (theoretically).

      Played correctly ?

      Thanks !
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Kt is a little weak so i wouldnt hate 4betting too much. But suited broadways are pretty much the best hands to call 3bets with. And we want the sb to come along. If that happens, bb is forced to play honestly.

      We are deep so i think that favors calling too.

      On the flop i think we can potentially find a fold. With the backdoor draw i think floating is probably not so bad. Raising is just a terrible idea. I would expecr bb to have some sort of gutshot like AK at the very least when he cbets. So vs his entire range, i am not completely certain that we can call flop profitably especially when we can expect him to barrel a lot of the time.

      Turn is very std when we improve. Call again and hope he has some sort of lower flushdraw barrel bluffing. Fold river because we have a very weak hand.