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[NL2-NL10] nl4sh 77 set on flop , drawy turn

    • EnterG
      EnterG
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.01.2010 Posts: 632
      Boss, $0.02/$0.04 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (MP): $3.94 (98.5 bb)
      CO: $5.91 (147.8 bb)
      BTN: $13.14 (328.5 bb)
      SB: $4.04 (101 bb)
      BB: $3.26 (81.5 bb)
      UTG: $6.13 (153.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with 7 7
      UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.12, CO calls $0.12, 2 folds, BB calls $0.08

      Flop: ($0.38) J 7 8 (3 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.38, CO folds, BB calls $0.38

      Turn: ($1.14) 9 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.48, BB raises to $1.52, Hero folds

      Results:
      $2.10 pot ($0.21 rake)
      Final Board: J 7 8 9
      Hero mucked 7 7 and lost (-$0.98 net)
      BB mucked and won $1.89 ($0.91 net)


      I am against a calling station . Stats vpip 57/pfr 2/af 0.7/wts 51/w$sd 32/240 hands.
      What should i do on this turn ? I think pre and on flop i played correctly.This opponent could never raise me with a bluff hand (imo)

      Thanks !
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Hi.

      Him never having a bluff means that he pays u off all the time if u make a fullhouse on the river.

      U have a 20% chance of having the river pair. The pot odds offered to u is slightly more than 25%.

      If he had a full 4$ stack u shuld definitely call. In this case its closr and i dont rly mind calling here and folding.

      Question is whether we shuld even bet the turn in the first place. I think its fine if opponent is passive and there are two flush draws out there.

      Thanks.