[NL20-NL50] NL20 SH Q9 Ajx mono FD

    • SPeedFANat1c
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 4,955
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
      SB ($20.10)
      BB ($10.97)
      UTG ($11.80)
      Hero ($38.86)
      BTN ($53.34)

      Dealt to Hero Q:diamond: 9:club:

      UTG calls $0.20, Hero raises to $0.80, fold, SB calls $0.70, fold, UTG calls $0.60

      FLOP ($2.60) 5:club: A:club: J:club:

      SB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $1.70, SB calls $1.70, UTG folds

      TURN ($6) 5:club: A:club: J:club: 2:diamond:

      SB checks, Hero checks

      RIVER ($6) 5:club: A:club: J:club: 2:diamond: J:spade:

      SB bets $5.20, Hero folds

      SB wins $5.70

      UTG: 48/2/1, fcbet 41, 242h

      note: c/c small cbet A64fd w 43 bottom pair, check 6, donk T 1 bb

      call vs BTN steal w 55 OOP, checks flop and turn QQ7 9, bluffs almost pot on A river

      flop cbet should be ok to fold some weak pairs, also I have FD, and fish can call with weaker FD.

      Turn after he called looks like I have no more FE.

      But river I am not sure - this might be a bluff. I have showed weakness on turn, so he does not put me on ace I think. So he cannot value bet that big. He could put me on a draw.

      Now what can he have? Proabably not an ace. I htink KQ busted draw is posible. There are posible made flushes whhihc are high and expecting to get calls in case I have Jx.

      So wanted to ask - if it is posible make small raise on river? I would be repping Jx.

      I thinked agian - and now I think I cannot rep Jx by raising small. Because w Jx if I raise I am not getting value - he has bluff or flush.
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694

      Flop: Don't bet the Flop. Your fold equity is really low. I would bet if I were headsup but not when it's 3way.

      River: Don't like it. Would you really raise JX on the River on a monotone board? What makes you think he cannot have something like KcJ or QcJ himself? While he seems to have a tighter calling range in the SB, maybe he widens his calling range here to play a pot with the fish.

      I also think that it is not out of the question for him to have sets here. Checkraising sets may not be good since he may isolate himself against flushes only. So I don't think it's out of the question for him to show up with sets here.

      Ultimately I don't see too many busted draws in his range. Does he really play KcT? Nope. So you are only beating KcQ or QcK. That's not exactly a lot of hands.