[NL20-NL50] 89o

    • mlatasrb
      Joined: 01.04.2012 Posts: 2,720
      iPoker - $0.20 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BB: 252.7 BB
      UTG: 104.25 BB
      MP: 100 BB
      CO: 169.1 BB
      Hero (BTN): 106 BB
      SB: 109.4 BB

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 8:heart: 9:diamond:

      fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 2 BB, fold, BB calls 1 BB

      Flop: (4.5 BB, 2 players) J:diamond: 3:club: 7:heart:
      BB bets 4.5 BB, Hero calls 4.5 BB

      Turn: (13.5 BB, 2 players) K:diamond:
      BB bets 6.75 BB, Hero raises to 20 BB, BB calls 13.25 BB

      River: (53.5 BB, 2 players) 3:spade:
      BB checks, Hero bets 40.1 BB, fold

      Hero shows 8:heart: 9:diamond: (One Pair, Threes)
      Hero wins 50.85 BB

      20 hands, VP 40, PFR20

      Is call with gutshot fine here, sometimes it is a bluff and he gives up turn.

      I am not sure if raise turn bet river on scare card is ok here, or totally spewy? He could 2nd barrel with scare card, but also he bets only 50% so I put him on Jx which is scared now of K. Sometimes he has 89, 9T. Is river even worse with no equity?
      I think this line is -EV when I analyse it more, but want to check.
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694

      I think flop float with gutshot is fine. The river card doesn't change much and vs a good opponent he would realize that it is much less likely for you to have a set of 3s (which will make him more inclined to call you down).

      I think the Turn raise and River bet may be fine, but it depends on opponent's tendencies and the range of hands he is donking on the Turn with. If he has JX, I don't think he would fold though.