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[NL2-NL10] NL10 AKo

    • TheWinnerTakesItAll
      TheWinnerTakesItAll
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.01.2012 Posts: 1,187
      CO stats 72/2 AF:1,2 WTSD:33 W$SD:30 fold to f cbet:57(4/7) fold to t cbet:0(0/2) AF by streets:0,7/1,5/2 after 43 hands.

      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)

      Known players:
      MP1:
      $18.59
      MP2 (Hero):
      $11.38
      MP3:
      $10.00
      CO:
      $9.52
      BU:
      $9.82
      SB:
      $10.24
      BB:
      $10.00
      UTG2:
      $3.49


      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with K, A.
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, MP3 folds, CO calls $0.30, 3 folds, 2 folds, BB folds.

      Flop: ($0.75) K, Q, 7 (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.50, CO calls $0.50.

      Turn: ($1.75) 2 (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.20, CO calls $1.20.

      River: ($4.15) 2 (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.80, CO raises to $7.52, Hero folds, CO gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $5.95.
  • 2 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Hi,

      I do not mind betting the River especially when we have the Ace of clubs which blocks out Ace high flushes from his range. I would just bet half pot, and pretty much never expect him to bluff raise the River. Given that his VPIP PFR is 72/2 and he has such a high WTSD of 33, I think he is never folding KX here on the River. And he has way more KX than flushes in my opinion. So I agree with your bet, but I just think you can bet slightly larger

      Thanks.
    • CPallo
      CPallo
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.04.2012 Posts: 4,350
      When guy limps 72 % (or even close to that) of hands, I guess he has more than enough FD combos without that A :club: :D So it doesn't make a flush less likelier at all.

      CH/F or bet/fold are both good on river IMO, it's a tough spot anyway. We could even go for ch/call, if we knew that vill. loves to turn his hands into a bluff on scare cards.