[NL2-NL10] KJo nl25sh

    • confidant91
      Joined: 02.04.2011 Posts: 5,692
      ups forgot that this hand is from my last shot on nl25 so if a mod can move it to nl25 section i will be glad...

      Party Poker $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 2096471
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BB: $54.51 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 20, 3B: 4, AF: 1,6, Hands: 2318
      UTG: $30.90 - VPIP: 56, PFR: 33, 3B: 25, AF: 1,0, Hands: 9
      CO: $8.70 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 16, 3B: 5, AF: 4,1, Hands: 282
      BTN: $34.72 - VPIP: 36, PFR: 20, 3B: 10, AF: 1,9, Hands: 3071
      Hero (SB): $25.00 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 18, 3B: 6, AF: 3,7, Hands: 148276

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is SB with J :club: K :heart:
      UTG calls $0.25, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, 1 fold, UTG calls $1

      Flop: ($2.75) K :spade: Q :spade: J :spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.25, UTG calls $2.25

      Turn: ($7.25) T :club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $4.50, UTG raises to $13.50, Hero folds

      preflop: standart isoraise
      flop: bet for value from all draw, pairs+
      turn: Do you still bet for value here? i did some calculations with equilab but it seems that i am quite behind against his range...

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 66.71% 60.71% 6.01% TT-99, ATs-A2s, KJs-K2s, Q2s+, JsTs, Js9s, Ts9s, Js8s, Ts8s, 9s8s, Js7s, Ts7s, 9s7s, 8s7s, Js6s, Ts6s, 9s6s, 8s6s, 7s6s, Js5s, 7s5s, 6s5s, Js4s, 6s4s, 5s4s, Js3s, 4s3s, Js2s, 3s2s, ATo-A2o, KJo-K9o, Q9o+, JTo, T9o, 98o, 87o, 76o
      MP3 33.29% 27.28% 6.01% KhJc

      would you put him on something similiar in this spot?

      Actulay i was quite suprised that we are so behind here, but since he has almost every Ax combination in his range and with our two pair combination we block lot of his worse hands that he can call so it make sense to me now...
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      I think turn is a clear check/fold. I don't see how we have any sort of playability once this turn card comes. Betting doesn't make sense when we are not getting called by worse. He probably folds his 88 with a spade, he continues with the occasional worse 2pair (but he should actually be folding), his range contains many broadways with an Ace in them.

      Even if villain somehow turned some 8s8h hand into a bluff, he will probably fire River as well and we are screwed.