[NL2-NL10] AQ 3bet pot

• Black
Joined: 28.02.2011
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem \$0.25(BB) Replayer
SB (\$30.88)
BB (\$10.25)
UTG (\$18.73)
UTG+1 (\$28.90)
Hero (\$11.23)
BTN (\$25.55)

Dealt to Hero A Q

UTG calls \$0.25, UTG+1 raises to \$1, Hero raises to \$2.10, fold, fold, fold, fold, UTG+1 calls \$1.10

FLOP (\$4.80) 7 T J

UTG+1 bets \$2.26, Hero folds

UTG+1 wins \$4.58

Oponent

52/39

In 32 hands.

Dobut 1> How I can continue whit my OC + GUT?

Dobut 2> What i shoud do if he check? bet flop and AI turn?

If I decide pushear your donk, the opponent would have to fold 56%, but I'm not counting on the equity of my hand.

How can I calcule this?

• 2 replies
• Bronze
Joined: 22.10.2009
Hello,

I like 3betting preflop against this guy but I would definitely make it bigger - like \$3-\$3.5.

On this flop folding is definitely fine. I doubt he has a bluff here at all and if we shove we are always behind.
If he checks we have to check back here. This board hits his range pretty much so I would rather keep the pot smaller.

You can calculate the equity of your hand by using Equilab.
For example if we give him this range on the flop - TT-77,AJs-ATs,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,AJo-ATo,KJo+,QJo we have 36.85% equity against it.
Let's say that this is his stacking off range and it is 50% of his whole range (that means that he has the same amount of bluffs like A2 etc).

That means that in the 50% of the times we will pick up the pot, and in the rest 50% of the time we will have 36.85% equity of the whole pot.
Now the calculation looks like this:
0.5*7.06 + 0.5*(0.3685*23.04-9.13)

Now I believe that the first part (0.5*7.06) is familiar to you since we already talked about this so I would only explain the second part but if you have any questions about the first feel free to ask.
So basically, we invest \$9.13 to win 36.85% of the whole pot which is \$23.04. So, if we make a simple calculation we get that we invested \$9.13 to win \$8.49 which means that every time we stack off we will slightly lose money but that's okay since we will win a lot by picking up the pot in the rest 50% of the time.

So this - 0.5*7.06 + 0.5*(0.3685*23.04-9.13), will now look like this - 0.5*7.06 - 0.5*0.64 which equals to \$3.21 - that means we will win \$3.21 every time when we shove.

NOTE: THOSE NUMBERS WERE MADE UP TO SHOW HOW IT IS CALCULATED. IN THIS PARTICULAR SCENARIO I DON'T THINK THAT WE HAVE ANY FOLD EQUITY AT ALL SO STACKING OFF WILL BE BAD.

Best,
Plamen
• Black
Joined: 28.02.2011
ahh, now understand

FE*DE +(1-FE)*(EQ*POT-Stack)