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[NL20-NL50] NL20 SH 99 vs c/r Jxxfd

    • SPeedFANat1c
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,150
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
      SB ($7.80)
      BB ($20)
      CO ($14.70)
      Hero ($24.07)

      Dealt to Hero 9:club: 9:heart:

      fold, Hero raises to $0.60, fold, BB calls $0.40

      FLOP ($1.30) 2:diamond: 5:spade: J:spade:

      BB checks, Hero bets $0.80, BB raises to $1.80, Hero calls $1

      TURN ($4.90) 2:diamond: 5:spade: J:spade: 9:spade:

      BB bets $3.60, Hero calls $3.60

      RIVER ($12.10) 2:diamond: 5:spade: J:spade: 9:spade: Q:diamond:

      BB checks, Hero bets $6, BB folds

      Hero shows 9:club: 9:heart:

      Hero wins $11.50

      call vs steal OOP w A8o, c/c J8xss, c/c 1/2 3, check Q
      call vs CO steal in SB w AQo, c/c AJ5 mono w TP no draw, c/c 8, check K

      his c/r stat is not big on flop, but I did not notice it in game. BUt his fcbet is very low, so I believed he migth be having many bluffs or sets. Still sets should raise more, so I discount them.
      Also my cbet size not looking like strongest so I called.

      Turn just call, becasue there are flushes in his range, and air, not storng hand which would pay me.

      On river still bet once he checks, becasue it looks like now he is not having flush, so trying to get value from something, but not sure from what :D . ANd interestingly he really did not have flush. So even with such small c/r stat he bluffed me it turns out.
  • 2 replies
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Don't know about the checkraise flop stat, but if you look at the raise flop vs Cbet, you can see that it's 31%. that's really high.

      I think he is full of it here, and he is usually trying to rep the flush on the Turn. I think you should bet 1/3 pot or 1/4 pot on the River to induce a bluff or a crying call with something. Frankly I don't see him having anything here at all.

    • SPeedFANat1c
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,150
      I am not used to looek at flop raise cbet, but I look at total raise cbet. It was bit smaller but not as small as other players at that time. BUt yeah, onw looking at his raise cbet - its huge.

      BUt then maybe he raises it in position, so thats why c/r stat is small.

      Only from this hand I really believe that he raises cbets not only IP

      But if I bet river small and he raises - yeah it looks like a bluff but I would have tougher time calling because of his passive aggression on river.