[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL50 6m K9 vs flop raise

    • VWRoli
      Joined: 17.04.2009 Posts: 29
      $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Holdem
      5 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      UTG ($72.63) 145bb
      CO ($85.75) 172bb
      Hero (BTN) ($55.22) 110bb
      SB ($73.43) 147bb
      BB ($53) 106bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.75, 5 players) Hero is BTN K: :9h:
      2 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, 1 fold, BB calls $0.75

      Flop: :2c: :9d: :4h: ($2.25, 2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.75, BB raises to $5.25, Hero calls $3.50

      Turn: :6c: ($11, 2 players)
      BB bets $8.50, Hero calls $8.50

      River: :8c: ($28, 2 players)
      BB goes all-in $38, $38 to Hero ($40.22)?

      Villain is an unknown fish
      Is it a good idea to call two streets here and fold to a river shove? I'm having trouble playing on dry flops after I got a raise.
  • 2 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909

      If you fold to the river shove you assume he has a set or a flush probably and almost no bluffs. If you think he does this with many BD FDs and he is already very unlikely to have a set I would often consider shoving turn for thin value. If he did some random raise with 9x he will call you, he can feel commited with FD + overs plus vs sets you lose kind of often anyway since you're not planning on foling too often.

      In this specific case I would fold river because of the terrible odds we also get. We need to be right too often while actually having no idea about his exact range just that his value range is narrow. We don't know how wide his bluffing range is to make educated calls.
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Looks fine to me as played