[NL20-NL50] NL25sh-T9 2 pairs vs Turn shove

    • urmo1
      urmo1
      Black
      Joined: 02.03.2008 Posts: 718
      Hello
      CO-42/29/24h
      Turn smaller check raises is more than 80% Nuts but overrraises shoves like draws / maybe bluffs. If i dont have samples vs opponent.
      This is Turn calling spot or fold?


      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $24.95 (99.8 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $25.58 (102.3 bb)
      SB: $20 (80 bb)
      BB: $15 (60 bb)
      MP: $40.19 (160.8 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with 9 T
      MP folds, CO calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1, 2 folds, CO calls $0.75

      Flop: ($2.35) 4 9 7 (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero bets $1.80, CO calls $1.80

      Turn: ($5.95) T (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero bets $4.50, CO raises to $22.15 and is all-in, Hero folds
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      This is definitely a fold with a 1 pair hand but it's not so obvious with top two. Compare pot odds vs equity here.

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 34.20% 34.20% 0.00% Td9d
      MP3 65.80% 65.80% 0.00% TT-99, 44, J8s, T7s, 86s, KsQs, AsJs, KsJs, QsJs, As9s, As8s, As6s

      Pot odds = 35.3%

      So it's still a fold. I think I have been fairly optimistic in giving him straight draws, and maybe he has all combos of J8o.

      Thanks.