[NL20-NL50] Nl30 - Kk

    • bosiati
      Joined: 23.05.2008 Posts: 697
      Cassava Poker $0.15/$0.30 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players - View hand 2101549
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      CO: $30.45
      BTN: $42.15
      SB: $53.99
      BB: $42.82
      Hero (UTG): $30.00
      UTG+1: $30.00
      MP1: $42.54
      MP2: $30.00

      Pre Flop: ($0.45) Hero is UTG with K :heart: K :club:
      Hero raises to $1.05, 1 fold, MP1 raises to $3.90, 5 folds, Hero raises to $10, MP1 calls $6.10

      Flop: ($20.45) 3 :diamond: 4 :spade: A :club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $6, MP1 folds


      154 hands 34/20/4
      WTSD:11, W$SD:50, FoldToFlopCbet:90(10)
      AF:9.3 AFq:46%
      My bet was for information and for win the pot the moment that. I think he's a fitorfold player. He never calls worst than Ax, but I can't check/call with KK here because his range: QQ-JJ, AdAh, AdAs, AhAs, KdKs, AdKd, AsKs, AdQd, AhQh, AsQs, AdKs, AhKd, AhKs, AsKd. This 2.31% range, he will fold QQ JJ KdKs.
      He'll continue with AdAh, AdAs, AhAs, AdKd, AsKs, AdQd, AhQh, AsQs, AdKs, AhKd, AhKs, AsKd range this is a 1.11%, so i have 51% Fold equity, and in this situation I need only 22 ( i wanted to bet more about 11$ /then I need 33% FE/, but my time descends left)
      Its a very aggressive player so I dont want to induce bloff, because I can't call.
      So, is there good the bet/fold?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Bosiati,

      What would you expect villain to do with JJ/QQ? Do you expect him to turn them into a bluff?

      He has 6 combos of AK (if he calls all of them), 12 combos of JJ-QQ, 3 combos of AQs, 3 combos of AA, 1 combo of KK.

      If he does indeed bet all of those combos then we can check call because he has about 50% worse hands. It's clear that when we bet nothing worse calls and nothing better folds. So against an aggro player like this guy I think we are better off ck/calling than turning KK into a bluff here and potentially inducing a shove with our small cbet.