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[NL2-NL10] TJo , cbet ?

    • staselu
      Joined: 02.01.2008 Posts: 532
      IPoker Network $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 2102034
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      CO: $10.43
      Hero (BTN): $26.37
      SB: $10.00
      BB: $19.66 18/15 fold bb to steal 67% vs steal call 19% fold to cbet 27% cold call 8% hands 900
      UTG: $2.40

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BTN with T :heart: J :club:
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, 1 fold, BB calls $0.20

      Flop: ($0.65) 6 :club: 4 :heart: 3 :spade: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks

      Turn: ($0.65) 6 :spade: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks

      River: ($0.65) 9 :spade: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks

      if vs steal he calls 19% ---> his range looks like this TT-22,ATs-A4s,KJs-K9s,Q9s+,J9s+,T8s+,98s,87s,76s,65s,AJo-A9o,KJo-K9o,QTo+,JTo

      our equity:

      Board: 6:club: 4:heart: 3:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    75.59%  72.00%   3.59% { TT-22, ATs-A4s, KJs-K9s, Q9s+, J9s+, T8s+, 98s, 87s, 76s, 65s, AJo-A9o, KJo-K9o, QTo+, JTo }
      MP3    24.41%  20.81%   3.59% { JcTh }

      he folds to cbet 27% --------> bad spot to cbet

      Am I wright ?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Staselu,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: You can't look at the equity on the flop like that because that calculation implies that the hand goes to showdown.

      However villain will hardly ever actually get there with hands like KJo or QTo.

      So on this board we should cbet to have him fold random air hands like random overcards that will simply ck/fold.

      And this board is so low that it hardly hits much in his range and I would cbet 2/3 pot and expect to take this down often.