[NL20-NL50] Fr50 Ak

    • Evante
      Evante
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.12.2009 Posts: 833
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)

      Known players:
      MP3:
      $50.00
      CO:
      $49.84
      BU:
      $50.00
      SB:
      $65.64
      BB (Hero):
      $70.05
      UTG2:
      $24.50
      MP1:
      $37.02
      MP2:
      $51.90


      Preflop: Hero is BB with K, A.
      3 folds, MP3 raises to $1.25, CO calls $1.25, BU calls $1.25, SB calls $1.00, Hero raises to $6.00, MP3 folds, CO raises to $49.84, 3 folds, 2 folds, Hero ???, CO gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $9.75.


      Villain 17/13/3.7% 3bet over 1.3k hands

      4bet range 4.3%

      WTSD 34% wins 63%


      the shove looks like AK but should i call this one?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Evante,

      We need to call ~44 here which means that after taking into account the rake we need roughly 44-46% equity.

      Even if he were to shove like this all AK and then some pairs we'd have a break even spot:

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 45.26% 29.21% 16.05% AdKs
      MP3 54.74% 38.68% 16.05% QQ-TT, AKs, AKo

      Considering how nitty he is so far he may not shove AKo and just go with pairs and AKs and maybe even some big KK/AA slowplay (especially if MP3 is nitty too).

      So I think that a fold is our best play.