[NL20-NL50] JJ nl50

    • franeczek
      franeczek
      Global
      Joined: 22.03.2009 Posts: 2,439
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP3: $50.75 (101.5 bb)
      CO: $50 (100 bb)
      BTN: $52 (104 bb)
      SB: $47.25 (94.5 bb)
      BB: $42.53 (85.1 bb)
      UTG+1: $25.77 (51.5 bb)
      Hero (UTG+2): $68.10 (136.2 bb)
      MP1: $67.84 (135.7 bb)
      MP2: $50 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG+2 with J J
      CO posts BB OOP, UTG+1 folds, Hero raises to $2.50, MP1 calls $2.50, 6 folds

      Flop: ($6.50) T J Q (2 players)
      Hero bets $5, MP1 raises to $15.50, Hero raises to $65.60 and is all-in, MP1 calls $49.84 and is all-in

      Turn: ($137.18) 2 (2 players, 2 are all-in)
      River: ($137.18) A (2 players, 2 are all-in)

      Results:
      $137.18 pot ($2.50 rake)
      Final Board: T J Q 2 A
      Hero showed J J and won $0.00 (-$67.84 net)
      MP1 showed Q Q and won $134.68 ($66.84 net)



      no reads only that Villian is a reg (was playing 20 tables). So he is not bluffing here, I thought that TT is snap fold here but JJ I just somehow couldn't.

      http://www.pokerstrategy.com
      Board: TsJsQh
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 41.35% 40.28% 1.07% { JdJc }
      MP3 58.65% 57.58% 1.07% { QQ, TT, AKs, 98s, AsQs, KsQs, As3s, As2s, AKo }

      If I add KK when he just spazz out it gets closer:
      http://www.pokerstrategy.com
      Board: TsJsQh
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 45.56% 44.53% 1.03% { JdJc }
      MP3 54.44% 53.41% 1.03% { KK-QQ, TT, AKs, 98s, AsQs, KsQs, As3s, As2s, AKo }

      So basically it seems that my stack off range here should be only QQ,AK??
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      Never ever folding here. We must discount AK and QQ from his flop raising range by some %, because he would 3bet some % of the time preflop.

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 50.58% 49.28% 1.30% JdJc
      MP3 49.42% 48.12% 1.30% TT, QdQs, QsQc, AKs, QTs+, AsQs, KsQs, AdKs, AdKc, AhKs, AhKc

      QQ - 2 out of 3 combos
      I gave QJs and QTs and TT
      Discounted AK by half the combos too

      I think your play is fine. He may also have some air here which raise/folds the Flop. So with 50% equity I think we have an easy stack off. And calling isn't ideal when his raise size is fairly sizable, and also when we are OOP with so many action killing cards on the Turn like a A/K/9/8/spade.

      Nice hand.