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[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH AJ valuebet river?

    • VWRoli
      VWRoli
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.04.2009 Posts: 29
      $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
      PokerStars
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      UTG ($9) 90bb
      Hero (UTG+1) ($10.55) 106bb
      CO ($10) 100bb
      BTN ($12.16) 122bb
      SB ($8.82) 88bb
      BB ($10.83) 108bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 6 players) Hero is UTG+1 J: A:
      1 fold, Hero raises to $0.30, 1 fold, BTN calls $0.30, SB raises to $0.50, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.20, BTN calls $0.20

      Flop: :8d: :2c: J: ($1.60, 3 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $1.10, BTN folds, SB calls $1.10

      Turn: :6h: ($3.80, 2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $2.50, SB calls $2.50

      River: T: ($8.80, 2 players)
      SB checks, Hero ($6.45)?

      Villain is a 57/5 fish.
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Hi.

      This is kind of a tricky spot. On one hand, when villain checks, I want to say that we have the best hand and can value bet 3 streets with TPTK. After all, why should he check AA-QQ here? Vs a normal opponent, this is a fairly standard 3barrel because we have the best hand here like 90% of the time.

      On the other hand, I see these sort of 50/5 players min-3betting AND THEN checking their overpairs on the Flop to trap ALL THE TIME.

      So I am inclined to think that we cannot 3barrel for value. With that in mind, I probably bet Flop check Turn and bet or call River.

      Thanks.