[NL2-NL10] AA against a very strong range

    • Stedyeddy
      Stedyeddy
      Platinum
      Joined: 28.02.2011 Posts: 7,496
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($50)
      BB ($21.92)
      Hero ($24.59)
      UTG+1 ($72.34)
      UTG+2 ($25)
      MP1 ($242)
      MP2 ($50)
      CO ($248)
      BTN ($50)

      Dealt to Hero A:spade: A:heart:

      Hero raises to $1.50, fold, fold, fold, MP2 calls $1.50, fold, BTN calls $1.50, fold, fold

      FLOP ($5.25) 2:spade: 5:spade: 3:spade:

      Hero checks, MP2 checks, BTN bets $3.50, Hero calls $3.50, MP2 folds

      TURN ($12.25) 2:spade: 5:spade: 3:spade: 8:club:

      Hero checks, BTN bets $8, Hero calls $8

      RIVER ($28.25) 2:spade: 5:spade: 3:spade: 8:club: 5:heart:

      Hero checks, BTN bets $12.50, Hero folds

      BTN wins $26.98

      Oponent:

      870 hands

      12/9
      C/C 6%
      WWSF 49%
      AF 48/32/35
      W$SD 48%

      What is your oppinion?

      Maby I should cbet the flop, but my hand dont need protection, and if someone raice me, I think that i must go broke.
  • 9 replies
    • elchipriota
      elchipriota
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.06.2012 Posts: 438
      Originally posted by Stedyeddy

      What is your oppinion?

      Maby I should cbet the flop, but my hand dont need protection, and if someone raice me, I think that i must go broke.

      I think you answered your question yourself there :)

      You get value from all of his overpairs+ Q,K of spades.

      I dont see how you cant cbet.


      Some thouhts:

      What is his image of you? Its hard to rep a lot there so if you ceb a lot for example thats a perfect spot for cbet.

      Would he limp his button with random cards? His stats say no.
      What is his 3bet range? Do you feel he is 3betting QQ+ or does he have some calls in his range?


      I think we play AA with nfdraw weak on the flop. Plus you dont show any aggression on any point and he has position so barreling 3 streets seems reasonal to me eespecially with his aggression stats.
    • Stedyeddy
      Stedyeddy
      Platinum
      Joined: 28.02.2011 Posts: 7,496
      When I'm under the gun, I do not like long barrel. My range is very strong, and usually regs raice or fold.
      Obviously it's a very bad way of thinking, but I honestly do not think that the oponent re-raicing with nothing worse than a flopped flush draw or set.
    • elchipriota
      elchipriota
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.06.2012 Posts: 438
      But he never reraises in this hand.

      So you never cbet in those spots on flop?
    • Stedyeddy
      Stedyeddy
      Platinum
      Joined: 28.02.2011 Posts: 7,496
      -HE dont raice. Before I bet, I always think what to do if I raice.
      If I bet i must go broke whit my FD + TP + gut, so I have a flip against the range that I think does this.
      Play c / c flop and turn has the advantage that it allows me to avoid the flip flop in and balance my c / f

      I only Cbet hands like JJ+ and AK whit the A of :spade: . With everything else I c / f the flop
    • elchipriota
      elchipriota
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.06.2012 Posts: 438
      Originally posted by Stedyeddy
      -He dont re-raice bcause I dont cbet the flop :D

      I only Cbet hands like JJ+ and AK whit the A of :spade: . With everything else I c / f the flop
      So why not cbetting the flop there? :)

      I think you give him too much credit there imo.

      What is his fold to cbet stat?

      What do you think his calling range is on the btn?
      Maybe if you cant post some more stats we can evaluate this in more depth.
    • Stedyeddy
      Stedyeddy
      Platinum
      Joined: 28.02.2011 Posts: 7,496
      The oponent its a 12/9, whit a cold call range of 6%!!!.
    • Stedyeddy
      Stedyeddy
      Platinum
      Joined: 28.02.2011 Posts: 7,496


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      what is your oppinion

      The first player its a 12/6 and He could cold call hands like TT, JJ or QQ against me, but this player maby call open whit more pokets.
    • kymupa
      kymupa
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      Hello,

      Just bet/bet/bet here. Our hand is too strong to check here and when we check we lose value against weaker overpairs or draws.

      As played, I would rather raise the flop and try to get it in. By calling we risk some bad turn cards to come which might kill the action.

      On the river it's rather a call here.
      He has 10 combos of full house boats and I think he is shoving at least JJ/TT here, probably even 99 so I think we have to call.

      Best,
      Plamen
    • Stedyeddy
      Stedyeddy
      Platinum
      Joined: 28.02.2011 Posts: 7,496
      Oka, ty.

      Maby I play so weak the hand.