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[NL2-NL10] Nl10 Fr 22

    • JohnDoe1313
      Joined: 04.01.2011 Posts: 5,195
      Party, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $10 (100 bb)
      MP: $31.45 (314.5 bb)
      BTN: $7.01 (70.1 bb)
      Hero (BB): $17.41 (174.1 bb)
      SB: $10.35 (103.5 bb)
      UTG: $12 (120 bb)

      Stats on CO

      Stats on SB

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 2 2
      2 folds, CO raises to $0.30, BTN folds, SB calls $0.25, Hero calls $0.20

      Flop: ($0.90) 8 3 A (3 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks, CO checks

      Turn: ($0.90) 2 (3 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.65, CO folds, SB calls $0.65

      River: ($2.20) J (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero ?

      Hi. I was thinking about squeezzing preflop as preflop aggressor folds too much vs 3bets. But I have no blockers and little postflop playabilty. Also SB is more on fishier side so he might come along. Is best just to set mine here?

      C/f flop. On turn I'm betting bigger as their calling ranges are probably flush draw or pocket pair. Another question here is how much should I bet river? There are 3 combos of Jx at best - QJs, KJs, JTs in :spade: . Maybe 1/3 pot for thin value from TT, 99? I should expect SB to donk turn most of his Ax hand, shouldn't I? Thank you
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      22 plays really poorly in 3b pots and way better in single raised pots. Definitely way better to flat 22 here than to squeeze.

      As played, just pot the Turn and River. We can still rep a ton of busted flush draws, villain may have some pot controlled AX which he is never folding on this runout, and maybe he might even choose to bluff catch with KK/QQ.

      I don't see how he has too many JX in his range so I am not concerned about that card. All we should think about is the fact that the flush draws missed, which makes villain way more likely to bluff catch the River lighter. So just pot it and hope he hero-calls with something.