[NL2-NL10] sh nl10 kk

    • gao20005
      gao20005
      Bronze
      Joined: 29.10.2008 Posts: 3,134
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2104069
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BTN: $10.62 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 18, 3B: 7, AF: 2.7, Hands: 1513
      SB: $10.57 - VPIP: 13, PFR: 13, 3B: 25, AF: 0.0, Hands: 8
      BB: $17.99 - VPIP: 31, PFR: 8, 3B: 10, AF: 0.8, Hands: 26
      UTG: $7.91 - VPIP: 4, PFR: 4, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 25
      Hero (MP): $26.56 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 15, 3B: 4, AF: 2.9, Hands: 211866
      CO: $9.65 - VPIP: 100, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 1

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is MP with K :club: K :spade:
      1 fold, Hero raises to $0.30, CO calls $0.30, 2 folds, BB raises to $1.50, Hero calls $1.20, CO calls $1.20

      Flop: ($4.55) 7 :spade: 8 :diamond: 9 :heart: (3 players)
      BB bets $16.49, [color=red]Hero ?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      Just call it off. If you are up against AA so be it. I think he is taking a protection line with an overpair a lot of the time.

      If I had a lower overpair like QQ I would consider folding though. Definitely folding JJ here. vs this super huge overbet, I would need close to 50% equity to stack off on the Flop. Maybe my assumptions are a little optimistic for KK but I still think we shouldn't fold here.

      1) Equity Win Tie
      MP2 41.80% 38.66% 3.15% TT+, ATs
      MP3 58.20% 55.05% 3.15% KK

      2) Equity Win Tie
      MP2 57.27% 54.54% 2.73% TT+, ATs
      MP3 42.73% 40.01% 2.73% QQ