[NL2-NL10] KQ nl10#1

    • ilidek
      ilidek
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.07.2010 Posts: 2,952
      Hero (BB): $10.85 (108.5 bb)
      UTG: $31.90 (319 bb)
      MP: $3.85 (38.5 bb)
      CO: $23.35 (233.5 bb)
      BTN: $11.26 (112.6 bb)
      SB: $10 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with K:heart: Q:diamond:
      2 folds, CO calls $0.10, BTN calls $0.10, SB folds, Hero raises to $0.45, CO calls $0.35, BTN calls $0.35

      Flop: ($1.40) J:club: T:club: 3:club: (3 players)
      Hero bets $0.75, CO calls $0.75, BTN calls $0.75

      Turn: ($3.65) 9:spade: (3 players)
      Hero bets $1.95, CO calls $1.95, BTN raises to $3.90, Hero raises to $9.65 and is all-in, CO calls $7.70, BTN raises to $10.06 and is all-in, CO calls $0.41

      River: ($33.42) J:spade: (3 players, 2 are all-in)

      crazy spot. I've thought I should fold vs raise but after work with equliab I am not so sure. He may play like this sets / str8 with :club: and flush.
      There are 11,45 allready in pot. I need to pay 7.70 to win 24$ - 33$ what means I need to win 23%-32% and I think I give him pretty good range. I think I well played this one. What do you think about it?




      Stół: J:club: T:club: 3:club:  9:spade:
             Equity  Wygrana  Podział
      MP2    38.64%   38.64%    0.00% { KhQd }
      MP3    61.36%   61.36%    0.00% { JJ-TT, 33, AcKc, AcQc, AcJc, Ac9c, Ac8c, Ac7c, Ac6c, Ac5c, Ac4c, Ac2c }


      and:

      Stół: J:club: T:club: 3:club:  9:spade:
             Equity  Wygrana  Podział
      MP2    42.15%   41.84%    0.31% { KhQd }
      MP3    57.85%   57.54%    0.31% { JJ-TT, 33, AcKc, AcQc, AcJc, Ac9c, Ac8c, Qc8c, Ac7c, Ac6c, Ac5c, Ac4c, Ac2c, Qc8d, Qc8h, Qc8s }


      if I add Q8 combo
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      This is a snap fold. I dont think its close at all. I dont see him taking this line with too many worse hand.

      I think u must heavily discount sets. Sets are going to either raise the flop or continue calling on the turn. I dont think people take the call flop raise turn line with sets on monotone boards

      Thanks.
    • ilidek
      ilidek
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.07.2010 Posts: 2,952
      ok thanks w/o sets I have 17% so it's easy fold
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      I think you may include a couple of set combos , but I just think that in general they are heavily discounted from his range. So your equity is probably 20%+ which means that this is an easy fold.