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[NL2-NL10] nl sh AQs MP

    • noulispa
      Joined: 27.01.2010 Posts: 1,280
      SB: $2.05 (102.5 bb)
      BB: $1.37 (68.5 bb) 67/33/7 hands fishy
      Hero (MP): $2.40 (120 bb)
      CO: $2 (100 bb)18/15/fld cbet 79/WTSD 19/ Pf agg 30-29-5/hands 591
      BTN: $1.34 (67 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with Q:heart: A:heart:
      Hero raises to $0.07, CO calls $0.07, 2 folds, BB calls $0.05

      Flop: ($0.22) 7:club: K:spade: 3:heart: (3 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks, CO checks

      Turn: ($0.22) 2:heart: (3 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.15, CO raises to $0.51, 2 folds

      flop : i should have cbet. But the BB was really fishy and call a lot but as he checks and the CO seems reallyu tight i should have bet sth like 1/2 pot.

      turn now i picked up some more outs with the FD i bet . When the CO raise i put him on sets most likely and agaist such a strong range we cant call right ? we need sth like 30 % if i am not wrong . What u think ?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Flop: Yeah this is a cbet, with such a dry Flop, and the fact that we have backdoor draws.

      Turn: We have the nut flush draw so I think I prefer calling here. If he is semi-bluffing, we beat his busted draws if he checks back on a blank. If we both have flush draws and we hit a heart on the River, we can stack him. If he has 22, I think he will very often bet the River again and we can check raise and expect to get paid off really often too.