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[NL2-NL10] TT set, turn play

    • gxtwo
      gxtwo
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.12.2010 Posts: 1,268
      Prima, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $8.99 (89.9 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $10.55 (105.5 bb)
      SB: $10.44 (104.4 bb)
      BB: $3.13 (31.3 bb)
      MP: $10.50 (105 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with T T
      MP folds, CO raises to $0.30, Hero raises to $1.10, SB calls $1.05, BB folds, CO calls $0.80

      Flop: ($3.40) 4 8 T (3 players)
      SB checks, CO checks, Hero bets $2.90, SB calls $2.90, CO folds

      Turn: ($9.20) Q (2 players)
      SB bets $2.40, Hero folds

      Results:
      $9.20 pot ($0.46 rake)
      Final Board: 4 8 T Q
      Hero mucked T T and lost (-$4 net)
      SB mucked and won $8.74 ($4.74 net)



      Can i call the turn here with what i think is 10 outs? at the time i just thought im beat, and folded :( .

      But looking back at it i get like 4.8:1 and i only need 4:1? (if im correct)
  • 7 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Hi.

      This is such a clear call, we definitely can draw to a boat or quads here.
      Pot odds: 2.4 / 14 = 17%. We hit our boat 21.7% of the time (10 out of 46).
    • gxtwo
      gxtwo
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.12.2010 Posts: 1,268
      Originally posted by mbml
      Hi.

      This is such a clear call, we definitely can draw to a boat or quads here.
      Pot odds: 2.4 / 14 = 17%. We hit our boat 21.7% of the time (10 out of 46).
      sorry :( At the time i just seen the and him betting, once i folded i realised it was a small bet :(

      Thank you for analysis though :f_biggri
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      No problem. Even if your odds are slightly worse than 21.7%, you could still potentially call. Just look at the remaining amount of money left in his stack, and estimate your implied odds.
    • gxtwo
      gxtwo
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.12.2010 Posts: 1,268
      Originally posted by mbml
      No problem. Even if your odds are slightly worse than 21.7%, you could still potentially call. Just look at the remaining amount of money left in his stack, and estimate your implied odds.
      hes got like $4 left, so we'd be getting.... 2.4/ 18 = 13%? haha such a clear snap call now :D
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      I don't think you should be counting it like that, but I guess you get the idea - The call is so standard. Even if he bet 4-4.50, I think we have a very close call.
    • gxtwo
      gxtwo
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.12.2010 Posts: 1,268
      Why not like that? I don't understand what's wrong.

      Sorry if this is nooby :)
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      We are not always getting paid off if we hit our outs. So I don't think you should be counting it like that. But just estimating our implied odds is fine.