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[NL2-NL10] AJo on BU

    • HrabriLavek
      Joined: 23.09.2012 Posts: 450
      Villain is unknown but seemed very loose and passive

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.04(BB) Replayer
      SB ($3.91)
      BB ($4.63)
      UTG ($1.15)
      UTG+1 ($2.53)
      UTG+2 ($4)
      MP1 ($2.02)
      CO ($5.39)
      Hero ($4.12)

      Dealt to Hero A:heart: J:diamond:

      fold, UTG+1 calls $0.04, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.16, fold, fold, UTG+1 calls $0.12

      FLOP ($0.38) J:heart: T:diamond: A:club:

      UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $0.27, UTG+1 raises to $1.18, Hero folds

      UTG+1 wins $0.88

      Im not sure was my fold little to tight here...he seemed passive, and the board really connected...I doubt he had a set here...but he just might have limped with TT, I was thinking more of a KQ here...might be he had weaker 2 pairs than mine, something like TJ or AT...I wasnt really sure should I have jammed it or call and see how turn plays out...his raise was pretty big, one more reason why I think he hit something strong...but again...he could have had weaker 2 pairs...

      I have put his range of what I think he could have had and see I had equity on my side...

      Board: Jh Td Ac

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 48.605% 43.17% 05.43% 125650 15818.50 { JJ-99, AJs-ATs, KQs, JTs, AJo-ATo, KQo, JTo }
      Hand 1: 51.395% 45.96% 05.43% 133773 15818.50 { AJo }

      was my mistake big or was this more of a guessing situation where in the long run either fold or shove is good?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Lavek,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: I think that against a 60 BB stack I can't bet/fold top two pair.

      As you said he can have worse 2p and it's possible to have pair+draw. Also, these fishy guys min raise with super strong hands so we can discount some sets (since big pairs don't always limp prefloP).