[NL2-NL10] 33, am I scared money?

    • Imimba1
      Imimba1
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.12.2011 Posts: 2,897
      Poker Stars $5.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BTN: $5.26 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 12, 3B: 4, AF: 5,0, Hands: 108
      SB: $5.91 - VPIP: 46, PFR: 18, 3B: 3, AF: 1,5, Hands: 202, donk:16%, WTS:42, W$sd:36, I havent seen any donking hand from him
      BB: $5.32 - VPIP: 10, PFR: 8, 3B: 3, AF: 0,0, Hands: 72
      UTG: $7.32 - VPIP: 39, PFR: 22, 3B: 0, AF: 0,8, Hands: 18
      MP: $10.44 - VPIP: 43, PFR: 30, 3B: 6, AF: 2,1, Hands: 223
      Hero (CO): $9.91 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 16, 3B: 4, AF: 2,0, Hands: 105449

      Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is CO with 3 :diamond: 3 :club:
      UTG raises to $0.10, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.10, 1 fold, SB calls $0.08, 1 fold

      Flop: ($0.35) T :heart: 3 :heart: 2 :club: (3 players)
      SB bets $0.10, UTG calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.60, SB calls $0.50, UTG folds I put many FD in his range: small donkbet/call

      Turn: ($1.65) A :heart: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero? if he has a FD, I'm behind, so check is good. if he doesnt have a flush, the A is a scarecard, so I'd have big FE, so it's hard to bet here imo.... or with his high WTS this is a mandatory bet/fold?
  • 11 replies
    • kymupa
      kymupa
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      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      Hello,

      Preflop is fine.

      On the flop I like your raise here.

      I think the turn is a bet here against a bad player. I wouldn't really check here since he could even call with Tx without FD here.

      Best,
      Plamen
    • Imimba1
      Imimba1
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      Joined: 12.12.2011 Posts: 2,897
      But if we had total air here, this would be the perfect card to bet as a bluff, wouldnt it?
      You would all say: we have now enormous FE, so just bet again.

      With that in mind, we can't say that we can bet for value here, because of the abovementioned huge FE.
    • kymupa
      kymupa
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      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      The ace on the turn reduces his FD combos a lot, and if we check his WTS and W$SD we are getting closer to a bet here.
      He goes to showdown quite often and wins rarely, so I think that he is going to call at least once more here with Tx.
    • Imimba1
      Imimba1
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      Joined: 12.12.2011 Posts: 2,897
      Originally posted by kymupa
      The ace on the turn reduces his FD combos a lot, and if we check his WTS and W$SD we are getting closer to a bet here.
      He goes to showdown quite often and wins rarely, so I think that he is going to call at least once more here with Tx.
    • elchipriota
      elchipriota
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      Joined: 06.06.2012 Posts: 438
      What about all the times he has a fdraw on the turn?

      KoH,QoH, you get value from raising here.
    • Imimba1
      Imimba1
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      Joined: 12.12.2011 Posts: 2,897
      Originally posted by elchipriota
      What about all the times he has a fdraw on the turn?

      KoH,QoH, you get value from raising here.
      I dont think he'd donk/call such hands.
    • Imimba1
      Imimba1
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      Joined: 12.12.2011 Posts: 2,897
      +1
    • Imimba1
      Imimba1
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.12.2011 Posts: 2,897
      (1) Is this ok-ish?

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 76.96% 76.96% 0.00% 3d3c
      MP3 23.04% 23.04% 0.00% QQ-99, ATs, KTs, QTs, JTs, T7s+, KhQh, KhJh, QhJh, Kh9h, Qh9h, Jh9h, Kh8h, Qh8h, Jh8h, 9h8h, Kh7h, Qh7h, Jh7h, 9h7h, 8h7h, Kh6h, Qh6h, Jh6h, Kh5h, Qh5h, Kh4h, Qh4h, Kh2h, ATo, KTo, QTo, JTo, T8o+

      (2) I wanted to upload a screenshoot from equilab, but it seems PS forum is unable to do that. Or?
    • kymupa
      kymupa
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      Hey,

      This range looks fine but I would exclude hands like QQ/JJ from his range, plus we can probably add some hands like Ac5c which has a gutshot and a backdoor FD.
    • Imimba1
      Imimba1
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.12.2011 Posts: 2,897
      Originally posted by kymupa
      Hey,

      This range looks fine but I would exclude hands like QQ/JJ from his range, plus we can probably add some hands like Ac5c which has a gutshot and a backdoor FD.
      QQ,JJ 3bets OTF, or why would you exclude them?
    • kymupa
      kymupa
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      It's quite likely that QQ/JJ 3bet preflop, so I don't really think he has those in his range.