[NL2-NL10] NL10 AQs Donkbet-> Push/Fold?

    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Party Poker, $0.05/$0.10 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 10 Players
      Hand History Converter by Stoxpoker

      BB: $12.80 (128 bb)
      UTG: $1.50 (15 bb)
      UTG+1: $18.04 (180.4 bb)
      UTG+2: $10.54 (105.4 bb)
      MP1: $10 (100 bb)
      Hero (MP2): $1.70 (17 bb)
      MP3: $10.19 (101.9 bb)
      CO: $18.36 (183.6 bb)
      BTN: $10.99 (109.9 bb)
      SB: $6.50 (65 bb)

      Pre-Flop: Hero is MP2 with A
      4 folds, Hero raises to $0.40, 3 folds, SB calls $0.35, BB calls $0.30

      Flop: ($1.20) 4 (3 players)
      SB checks, BB bets $0.30, Hero folds, SB folds



      With 6 outs if I push I got odds of 3,1:1 however i think I have to discount 1 out due the spade (Queen of Spade) so it comes to 3,9:1.
      If someone could confirm this or not thanks.

      however with 3,1:1 odds and having to push $1.3 to win $2.6 is 1:2.

      Is this a push or fold? I feel not like calling since I put him on a flushdraw. J9 seems unlikely.
      Stats of BB contains only 65 hands thus invalid in my opinion.
  • 3 replies
    • Midazolam
      Midazolam
      Bronze
      Joined: 25.09.2007 Posts: 7,825
      Originally posted by Gerv

      With 6 outs if I push I got odds of 3,1:1 however i think I have to discount 1 out due the spade (Queen of Spade) so it comes to 3,9:1.
      If someone could confirm this or not thanks.

      however with 3,1:1 odds and having to push $1.3 to win $2.6 is 1:2.

      Is this a push or fold? I feel not like calling since I put him on a flushdraw. J9 seems unlikely.
      Stats of BB contains only 65 hands thus invalid in my opinion.
      Anyway you have to discount 2 outs Q and A spade
      And you have got a backdoorflush+str8 draw and villain may have a (as you mention) str8 draw.
      But I think backdoor draws are not so important. Much more important is that a got 3 Players on the flop.


      Fold or push?
      "If the pot odds are better than the odds of an in complete hand, you will make profit in the long run. If they are worse, you will make losses in the long run."

      For more explanatory notes the judge may help I will quit at this point.
    • Tosh5457
      Tosh5457
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.01.2008 Posts: 3,062
      Fold, you got 4 outs, that gives you no pot odds or implied odds to do anything.
    • ysessa
      ysessa
      Basic
      Joined: 11.07.2008 Posts: 1,331
      Hi Gerv,


      when you think that the BB has hit anything or has a pocket pair, which he will not fold on this board its an easy fold. so without stats just fold, you often only have less then 30% equity on this board.


      Best Regards

      Ysessa