[NL20-NL50] 55 bottom set 4way. Flop play?

    • AchillesBG
      AchillesBG
      Gold
      Joined: 06.02.2011 Posts: 4,562
      Ongame Network $50.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 2105071
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      SB: $29.25 - VPIP: 77, PFR: 46, 3B: 7, AF: 2.7, Hands: 35
      BB: $49.25 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 20, 3B: 7, AF: 4.7, Hands: 1158
      UTG: $53.00 - VPIP: 26, PFR: 20, 3B: 6, AF: 2.1, Hands: 2468
      CO: $49.90 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 15, 3B: 5, AF: 1.3, Hands: 308
      Hero (BTN): $74.44 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 16, 3B: 6, AF: 3.0, Hands: 25530

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BTN with 5 :club: 5 :spade:
      1 fold, CO raises to $1.50, Hero calls $1.50, SB calls $1.25, BB calls $1

      Flop: ($6.00) 7 :club: K :club: 5 :heart: (4 players)
      SB checks, BB checks, CO bets $4.50, Hero calls $4.50, SB folds, BB folds

      Turn: ($15.00) A :club: (2 players)
      CO bets $11.00, Hero calls $11

      River: ($37.00) 9 :heart: (2 players)
      CO bets $32.90, Hero folds

      Do you raise the flop on this board? I though i can call here to let SB call or raise with worse.

      I think calling this turn is ok. He is still betting AK and some Ax+FD. Don`t see much reasons to raise here.

      On the river, i think folding is fine.
  • 1 reply
    • Desultory
      Desultory
      Basic
      Joined: 06.02.2013 Posts: 127
      I think raising the flop is better.
      Players at this level including regulars have trouble folding Top pairs so he prob calls KT+ anyway, and given his AF is low, he won't barrel bluff you much.

      The recreational player has a massive VPIP and will almost definitely over call with any Top pair and maybe even like Mid pair+, so calling to keep him in makes less sense.

      After you call flop and face a turn barrel. You can call or raise(because he can't fold two pairs) and this is dependant on if he cbets flop with A7 and A5.

      River is difficult because he can have so many Gutshots profitbally bluffing on turn and then trying to bluff you off so many KQ type hands on the river, but because he has low AF it puts the question in our mind if he actually will do this. I think you have to call on river purely because you look so weak and this is the top of your range. But I don't like being in this spot and thats largely why I raise flop or turn, ideally flop.