NL500 Zoom Nut Flush draw in squeezed pot

    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Poker Stars $2.50/$5 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2105318
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BTN: $657.40
      Hero (SB): $2142.77
      BB: $565.36
      UTG: $727.38
      MP: $708.54
      CO: $1054.37

      Pre Flop: ($7.50) Hero is SB with 2:spade: A:spade:
      1 fold, MP raises to $12.50, CO calls $12.50, 1 fold, Hero raises to $55, 1 fold, MP calls $42.50, CO calls $42.50

      Flop: ($170.00) T:heart: T:spade: 8:spade: (3 players)
      Hero bets $110, MP folds, CO raises to $265, Hero calls $155

      Turn: ($700.00) 2:heart: (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO checks

      River: ($700.00) K:heart: (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $734.37 all in, Hero folds

      Final Pot: $700.00
      CO wins $697.20
      (Rake: $2.80)

      PFR is 31/26, opens 22% from MP, CO is 27/23/9.5 with 70% FT3B. He has low numbers for raising Flop cbets (9% and 11% in 3b/Singleraised pots)

      1) It's kind of sick, I even feel like bet/folding Flop, but I think nut flush draw is a little too strong to fold. I'll probably bet/fold most of the smaller flush draws. My betting range on the Flop is definitely pretty strong on this board 3way.

      2) His line looks very weird to me. I'm just wondering what's the worst hand we can call here. Feel like it could be some weirdly played TX hand. I seriously wonder if he's capable of shoving KsQs here on the River after I show so much weakness.
  • 2 replies
    • imfromsweden007
      imfromsweden007
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.10.2008 Posts: 726
      The little fucker probably just has it here. I would fold, if for no other reason then for balance. Surely A2s has to be quite far down on the list of potential hands we want to call on the river? And surely we are percived to have AK in our range at least some % of the time, so should be fine? But yeah pretty sick spot. I wouldn't expect him to shove Kx here for 200bb. That, coupled with that fact that surely he'd bet turn with his valuehands, also means he has few valuehands but that should be obvious to him as well. So in these level spots where it's hard to figure out if he's bluffing too much or too little, I tend to just call the the top x % of my range, so A2s is a fold for me.
    • ihufa
      ihufa
      Gold
      Joined: 18.03.2008 Posts: 3,323
      Isn't flatting the flop the worst play by far? U'll lose every turn u brick and he bets and if u do get it in vs his value range on a spade u won't be doing that great anyways.

      Can u explain how it doesn't go fold > jam > call?