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[NL2-NL10] NL10 6max AJ TPTK, CHK/Call CHK/Raise

    • ilioas
      Joined: 24.11.2008 Posts: 305
      PartyGaming - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      UTG: $10.45
      CO: $2.75
      Hero (BTN): $10.35
      SB: $23.34
      BB: $11.01 26/13 189 hands

      SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero has A:club: J:diamond:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.30, fold, BB calls $0.20

      Flop: ($0.65, 2 players) 6:spade: J:club: 5:heart:
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.40, BB calls $0.40

      Turn: ($1.45, 2 players) 4:heart:
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.10, BB raises to $2.70, Hero raises to $9.65 and is all-in, BB calls $6.95

      River: ($20.75, 2 players) A:diamond:

      BB shows 6:diamond: 6:heart: (Three of a Kind, Sixes) (Pre 54%, Flop 98%, Turn 100%)
      Hero mucks A:club: J:diamond: (Two Pair, Aces and Jacks) (Pre 46%, Flop 2%, Turn 0%)
      BB wins $19.75

      Flop call would be anything aroug Jx, 99,88,77, 78, 89, some AQ, AK, KQ

      Turn check raise looks oveplayed and underestimated.
      There most likely his range shrinks to 66,55,JJ, 78. The only value hands that might eb there are bluffs like flush draws. But due to fact that he is not a fish those kind of bluffs are less likely in his range. If he would bluff with such hand he would shove most likely. But even then I do not think calling would be +EV in total.
  • 1 reply
    • w34z3l
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,331
      Hey ilioas,

      Preflop open-raise is fine.

      Flop cbet for value is good.

      Turn cbet for value is good. The best option is to fold vs villains check-raise. This would be a very sophisticated line for villain to take as a bluff. What draws does he even have in his range that float flop OOP?

      Even if villain was bluffing he may not then call a shove with worse.