[NL20-NL50] 25shz JJ MP

    • AtrociousNightmare
      AtrociousNightmare
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.04.2010 Posts: 1,185
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $26.27 (105.1 bb)
      SB: $77.77 (311.1 bb)
      BB: $64.93 (259.7 bb)
      UTG: $21.24 (85 bb)
      Hero (MP): $34.19 (136.8 bb)
      CO: $25.15 (100.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with J J
      UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.75, CO calls $0.75, 3 folds

      Flop: ($1.85) J 7 Q (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.57, CO calls $1.57

      Turn: ($4.99) 6 (2 players)
      Hero bets $3.99, CO calls $3.99

      River: ($12.97) 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $9.90, CO raises to $18.84 and is all-in, Hero calls $8.94

      Results:
      $50.65 pot ($2 rake)
      Final Board: J 7 Q 6 5
      Hero mucked J J and lost (-$25.15 net)
      CO showed A T and won $48.65 ($23.50 net)

      VPIP: 34, PFR: 19, 3B: 5, AF: 1,6, Hands: 102

      Should I EVER find a hero fold on river?


      Another question.
      Exchange the situation and put me in villain's place, with AsTs against normal reg.
      Would you find a flop raise a good bluff?
  • 3 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Hi,

      standard b/c spot with set. I would never fold there (even if I have notes he has shown me AsTs)

      Exchange the situation and put me in villain's place, with AsTs against normal reg.
      Would you find a flop raise a good bluff?

      - depends on heros bets size and my gut feeling. Likely I would raise 25% and call 75%. If hero seems strong and I expect to have very litte fold equity then it does not really make sense to bluffraise flop, but rather float and for example bluff on diamonds.

      best regards,
    • AtrociousNightmare
      AtrociousNightmare
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.04.2010 Posts: 1,185
      Originally posted by Kaitz20
      Hi,

      standard b/c spot with set. I would never fold there (even if I have notes he has shown me AsTs)

      Exchange the situation and put me in villain's place, with AsTs against normal reg.
      Would you find a flop raise a good bluff?

      - depends on heros bets size and my gut feeling. Likely I would raise 25% and call 75%. If hero seems strong and I expect to have very litte fold equity then it does not really make sense to bluffraise flop, but rather float and for example bluff on diamonds.

      best regards,
      What if we call and the same turn comes (6s), and he 2nd barrels heavy like I did, around 80%.
      That way we don't have the odds to call, (but maybe the implied are enough), but a raise seems a bit out of place.
      However a fold seems too weak.

      What to do? Call?
      Can we expect to stack him most of the time?
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Since we hit our nut flushdraw with gutshot we can´t really fold.
      We have position, so he would very likely betting two pair+ spades river and would call shove, since backdoor flushdraw is unlikely. Also if river is diamond we can consider bluffing out aces/kings+ finally we might easily be ahead against other flushdraws (and especially one hand KdTd)

      best regards,