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[NL20-NL50] Kk Bu

    • Lucker9200
      Joined: 18.06.2010 Posts: 271
      IPoker, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $51.14 (102.3 bb)
      BB: $166.79 (333.6 bb)
      CO: $51.62 (103.2 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $95.78 (191.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with K K
      CO raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $4.50, 2 folds, CO calls $3

      Flop: ($9.75) J 8 9 (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero bets $5.50, CO calls $5.50

      Turn: ($20.75) A (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero checks

      River: ($20.75) 4 (2 players)
      CO bets $14, Hero folds

      Villain is unknown, seems average

      When I get flatted oop in utg I expect him to have smth like 99-QQ,AQ+ [rarely AA,KK]
      otf I should have bet slightly bigger 7-7.5 imo
      otr I think his range is :JJ-99,AQ with slightly reduced # set combos and it's questionable whether he'd turn TT into a bluff so I expect to be quite dead here
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      We did not check the Turn to fold the River. He may turn 77 or TT into a bluff. He can have some busted draws like KQs and KTs. We must call here for sure.

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 69.23% 69.23% 0.00% 88, AJs, KQs, KTs, QTs
      MP3 30.77% 30.77% 0.00% KhKs

      I gave him 3 set combos of 88 (I would assume he checkraises those really often on such a coordinated Flop), AJs, KQs and KTs and straight. This is a conservative estimate so I think it's a clear call here when pot odds = 14/48 = 29.2%