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[NL2-NL10] A7s vs BU

    • staselu
      Joined: 02.01.2008 Posts: 532
      IPoker Network $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 2110652
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      CO: $2.63
      BTN: $10.48 46/13 agfactor 1.7 wts 32 steal from BU 25% fold to 3bet 50% hands 80
      Hero (SB): $10.69
      BB: $6.61 14/14 hands 38
      UTG: $4.04

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is SB with A :heart: 7 :heart:
      2 folds, BTN raises to $0.30, Hero raises to $1, 1 fold, BTN calls $0.70

      Flop: ($2.10) A :club: T :heart: K :heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.05, BTN calls $1.05

      Turn: ($4.20) T :club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.10, BTN calls $2.10

      River: ($8.40) 7 :spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.00, BTN calls $1

      PREFLOP: BU 40/13 steals 25%, BB is a nit 14/14 over 38 hands
      -I don't like my 3bet preflop, because we do not have fold equity vs BU
      -I don't like calling because:
      1. postflop we are out of position
      2. bad equity vs his range
      MP2 52.14% 48.67% 3.47% 66+, A2s+, K6s+, Q8s+, J8s+, T8s+, A7o+, K9o+, QTo+, JTo
      MP3 47.86% 44.39% 3.47% Ah7h
      3.No fold equity postflop, I mean it would be hard to bluff him out of a better hand

      -so I guess based on my analysis vs this opponent we need to fold.
      (I do not wory about BB, because he is a NIT 14/14 over 38 hands, if he shows aggression it is a easy fold preflop)

      POSTFLOP: cbet flop half pot--->

      cbet turn: He can call with Kx, flush draws,TQ etc

      river: agfactor flop:1.5 agfactor turn: 1.2 agfactor river 2.8
      looking at his stats I see he likes to be active on the river

      what is the best play on the river ?
  • 1 reply
    • kymupa
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364

      I think 3betting here is borderline. I wouldn't mind it so much since I expect him to bet widest at the button and we still have some equity postflop if we get called.

      On the flop I like cbetting.

      On the turn we split against all the Ax, but he might call us with Kx or some draws, so I think betting again is fine.

      As played, i wouldn't rely too much on his river AF from 80 hands, but I like your bet here, since we can get called by Kx.