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[NL20-NL50] 25shz AKo SB

    • AtrociousNightmare
      AtrociousNightmare
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.04.2010 Posts: 1,185
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $21.25 (85 bb)
      Hero (SB): $94.01 (376 bb)
      BB: $25.44 (101.8 bb)
      UTG: $24.30 (97.2 bb)
      MP: $29.15 (116.6 bb)
      CO: $113.72 (454.9 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with K A
      2 folds, CO raises to $0.75, BTN calls $0.75, Hero raises to $3, BB folds, CO calls $2.25, BTN calls $2.25

      Flop: ($9.25) K 9 Q (3 players)
      Hero bets $5.25, CO folds, BTN raises to $18.25 and is all-in, Hero calls $13

      Turn: ($45.75) 9 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
      River: ($45.75) 6 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      Results:
      $45.75 pot ($2 rake)
      Final Board: K 9 Q 9 6
      BTN mucked J Q and lost (-$21.25 net)
      Hero showed K A and won $43.75 ($22.50 net)
      CO mucked and lost (-$3 net)

      CO: VPIP: 22, PFR: 17, 3B: 8, AF: 4,3, Hands: 269
      BU: VPIP: 20, PFR: 10, 3B: 20, AF: 2,0, Hands: 10

      I was incredibly reluctant to call that raise as I didn't see anything worse doing it.
      However, due to his stack and due to mbml always reminding me "on 3bet pot that's virtual nuts" I called. :f_love:

      Thoughts?
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Hi.

      I don't think AK is virtual nuts on this texture as we lose to KQ/99/JT etc. If you are not willing to stack off vs a raise, you can consider the option of check/calling.

      BU seems to be on the tighter side, but the wide disparity between VPIP and PFR makes me think he loves calling a lot. So perhaps his range is not necessarily overly narrow here. He could have some KT KJ shoving here. Maybe even some worse pairs + gutshots.

      Anyway pot odds are just way too good for you to fold here.
      13/45.75 = 28.4%

      You should try equilating a conservative stack off range for BU. I bet we have enough equity to stack off.
    • AtrociousNightmare
      AtrociousNightmare
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.04.2010 Posts: 1,185
      Originally posted by mbml
      Hi.

      I don't think AK is virtual nuts on this texture as we lose to KQ/99/JT etc. If you are not willing to stack off vs a raise, you can consider the option of check/calling.

      BU seems to be on the tighter side, but the wide disparity between VPIP and PFR makes me think he loves calling a lot. So perhaps his range is not necessarily overly narrow here. He could have some KT KJ shoving here. Maybe even some worse pairs + gutshots.

      Anyway pot odds are just way too good for you to fold here.
      13/45.75 = 28.4%

      You should try equilating a conservative stack off range for BU. I bet we have enough equity to stack off.
      I don't manage to make a conservative range (considering his double call PF) without being super crushed.
      Help xD

      Tried 99, AK, KQs, JTs, but I don't know what else to add.
      If I add anything else that I beat tho equity skyrockets to like 50%. (KJ, KTs, stuff like that, but is that conservative?)


      On a side note, why in the hell would he do what he did?
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      I think its safe to assume he always has KJs KTs here. And we should have enough.

      Why should he raise? Cos he is a bad player who is randomly clicking buttons ;)