[NL20-NL50] 25shz AQo BU

    • AtrociousNightmare
      AtrociousNightmare
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.04.2010 Posts: 1,185
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (BTN): $26.35 (105.4 bb)
      SB: $11.24 (45 bb)
      BB: $66.35 (265.4 bb)
      UTG: $34.78 (139.1 bb)
      MP: $26.01 (104 bb)
      CO: $26.97 (107.9 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with Q A
      UTG folds, MP raises to $0.75, CO folds, Hero calls $0.75, SB calls $0.65, BB calls $0.50

      Flop: ($3) A J 4 (4 players)
      SB checks, BB checks, MP checks, Hero bets $1.70, SB raises to $4.25, 2 folds, Hero raises to $25.60, SB calls $6.24 and is all-in

      Turn: ($23.98) 6 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
      River: ($23.98) 7 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      Results:
      $23.98 pot ($1.31 rake)
      Final Board: A J 4 6 7
      Hero mucked Q A and won $0.00 (-$11.24 net)
      SB showed J J and won $22.67 ($11.43 net)
      BB mucked and lost (-$0.75 net)
      MP mucked and lost (-$0.75 net)

      VPIP: 30, PFR: 4, 3B: 0, AF: 1,0, Hands: 23

      I know he's passive and we are on a 4way, but due to his stack and fishiness I didn't have the heart to fold.
      Thoughts?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      This is really close. On A57 I would be less willing to fold. With deeper stacks I would definitely bet/fold vs this passive guy.

      I think the EV of stacking off here is very close to bet/folding so I don't mind it too much. Given his preflop VPIP of 30 I Think he may have many worse AX hands in his range which may just randomly decide to overplay.

      Our sample on his overall AF Is also not high enough to come to a correct conclusion. If we knew his AF was 0.5 over a 3k hand sample then I would be willing to bet/fold here.