[NL20-NL50] NL50 AK squeezed, c/f flop?

    • Pumper247
      Pumper247
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.11.2012 Posts: 500
      iPoker - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BB: $39.96
      UTG: $46.04
      MP: $54.44
      CO: $76.17
      BTN: $50.00
      Hero (SB): $202.93

      Hero posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has A:club: K:heart:

      UTG raises to $1.75, fold, CO calls $1.75, fold, Hero raises to $7.50, fold, UTG calls $5.75, fold

      Flop: ($17.25, 2 players) 3:club: 4:heart: J:diamond:
      Hero checks, UTG bets $9.00, fold

      UTG wins $16.39

      Hey everyone,
      UTG is a 25/22/12 VPIP/PFR/3BET reg. on 778 hands. His AFQ 67/62/29 and WWSF:62 so pretty aggrssive i guess..
      CO is 26/12/5 semifish on 161 hands.

      Preflop, i think he could tarp premium pairs with the semifish behind. AK is probably 4betting , TT folding.
      So is check/folding flop fine?
  • 3 replies
    • cutegoldfish
      cutegoldfish
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335
      How often does he fold to 3bet?

      I think his calling range there can be something like KQ+ 99+ AJ+ and against that range you can throw a cbet since you have good equity and can Barrell again on the turn if any TQKA comes giving you either a pair or gutshot and he could have trouble with his under pairs and second pairs.

      How often does he fold to cbet on flop or raise CB on flop?
    • Pumper247
      Pumper247
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.11.2012 Posts: 500
      thank you,
      fold to 3bet:63 ,
      fold to cbet in 3bet pot: 40(2/5) ,
      raise cbet in 3bet pot:20(1/5),
      call cbet in 3bet pot: 20(2/5)
    • cutegoldfish
      cutegoldfish
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335
      I think with these stats we still have a profitable cb on the flop like half pot and if we hit a pair or gutshot draw we can Barrell again to take him off some middle pocket pair or get value when we hit.