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[NL20-NL50] NL50sh KQo

    • jachis
      jachis
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.04.2008 Posts: 745
      PartyGaming - $0.50 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      Hero (BB): $52.59
      UTG: $105.03
      CO: $54.54
      BTN: $58.75
      SB: $55.07

      SB posts SB $0.25, Hero posts BB $0.50

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has K:spade: Q:heart:

      fold, CO raises to $1.50, fold, fold, Hero raises to $5.00, CO calls $3.50

      Flop: ($10.25, 2 players) T:club: K:heart: 7:diamond:
      Hero bets $5.00, CO calls $5.00

      Turn: ($20.25, 2 players) A:diamond:
      Hero ???????


      Villlain 19/17, RFI CO 24%, fold to 3bet 60%, fold to 3b flop cbet 20% (1/5) no sample on other postflop stats in 3bet pot. Bets a lot 75%+ when checked to in single raised pots.
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Hi.

      I think KQo is a little too weak to 3b for value here. This is just going to be a rough estimation, but if he continues only with the top 40% of his opening range since he folds 60% (0.4 X 24% = ~10%), we find that we are an underdog here.

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 59.83% 55.47% 4.36% 77+, ATs+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, AJo+, KQo
      MP3 40.17% 35.81% 4.36% KQo

      Turn: I think we should definitely check here. And probably check/fold since we are crushed by his range pretty hard.

      Board: TcKh7dAd
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 69.41% 62.18% 7.23% { TT, 77, AQs-ATs, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, 98s, AQo-AJo, KQo }
      MP3 30.59% 23.36% 7.23% { KsQh }
    • jachis
      jachis
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.04.2008 Posts: 745
      So you would rather flat KQo pre?
      What range would you choose to 3bet agaisnt such villain?

      His overall 4bet range is 3%, its quite wider on BTN but not on CO, so I think he doesnt 4bet bluff much here. I have a autonote that says he has called 3bet IP 88-JJ and even AKs in some spot.
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      KQ could be a 3bet vs BU, and maybe some loose CO openers. But i'm probably 3betting a tighter range vs this guy's 25% open range.

      Maybe AQ+/TT+ for value, and another 5% of bluffs including some suited connectors and suited Kings.