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[NL2-NL10] 99 missed river bet?

    • dalmar469
      dalmar469
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.04.2011 Posts: 394
      Party Poker $4.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2114500
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      Hero (CO): $7.70 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 15, 3B: 8, AF: 3,8, Hands: 12476
      BTN: $4.63 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 14, 3B: 3, AF: 3,0, Hands: 208
      SB: $1.12 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 1,0, Hands: 44
      BB: $4.29 - VPIP: 36, PFR: 7, 3B: 4, AF: 2,3, Hands: 430
      UTG: $4.00 - VPIP: 7, PFR: 2, 3B: 0, AF: 2,0, Hands: 43
      MP: $4.20 - VPIP: 56, PFR: 11, 3B: 14, AF: 1,7, Hands: 27

      Pre Flop: ($0.06) Hero is CO with 9 :spade: 9 :club:
      1 fold, MP calls $0.04, Hero raises to $0.16, 2 folds, BB calls $0.12, 1 fold

      Flop: ($0.38) J :diamond: 5 :club: 8 :club: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.27, BB calls $0.27

      Turn: ($0.92) 6 :club: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks

      River: ($0.92) 2 :heart: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks

      villain is fishy loose player

      pre: standard to raise limper
      flop: bet for value + protection
      turn: thought that was ugly card because of possible 2pairs+ flush+ straight. decided to check
      river: missed the value bet, at the time thought that he most likely have jx.
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Dalmar,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: Both flop and turn are fine. A turn bet would be too thin because a lot of his range beats us and the worse hands may not continue.

      Since he checked the river he usually doesn't have a strong hand but may still have some Jx in his range along with other pairs. I think that the stronger Jx would bet some amount of the time so we could possibly have a thin value bet. But it would be very thin so I don't think checking back is a huge mistake.
      If we bet I'd make it 1/2 pot.