[NL20-NL50] $3 AJ nl20

    • ilidek
      Joined: 06.07.2010 Posts: 3,089
      SB: $36.05 (180.2 bb)
      BB: $23.17 (115.9 bb)
      UTG: $27.31 (136.5 bb)
      MP: $16.48 (82.4 bb)
      CO: $35.64 (178.2 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $22.53 (112.7 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with J:diamond: A:diamond:
      UTG folds, MP calls $0.20, CO folds, Hero raises to $1, 2 folds, MP calls $0.80

      Flop: ($2.30) J:heart: 9:club: 2:spade: (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $1.60, MP calls $1.60

      Turn: ($5.50) 9:heart: (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $4.30, MP raises to $13.88 and is all-in, Hero calls $9.58

      River: ($33.26) 7:spade: (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      48/6 1 agr 30h
      The question here is can he overplay hands like KJ or it's only 9 in his range. If he can play KJ hands like that it's easy call otherwise it should be fold, what do you think about it? On T I need to be good 30% time.
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      You should bet slightly smaller on the Turn. You'll notice that there is very little money left on the River.

      When you get shipped on here, I think it's probably a fold. He has so many 9X hands in his range and I think he would usually c/c the Turn again with a Jack.

      In my opinion his range looks something like:

      Board: Jh9c2s9h
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 83.93% 83.39% 0.55% { A9s, KJs, K9s, Q9s, J9s, T9s, 97s+, A9o, KJo, K9o, Q9o, J9o, T9o, 97o+ }
      MP3 16.07% 15.52% 0.55% { AdJd }