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[NL2-NL10] NL10 AJs - bet sizing

    • Jaissica
      Joined: 10.02.2009 Posts: 1,385
      PokerStars - $0.10 NL - Holdem - 8 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4:

      BB: 100 BB
      UTG: 104.7 BB
      UTG+1: 97.1 BB
      MP: 100 BB
      Hero (MP+1): 432.5 BB
      CO: 137.1 BB
      BTN: 178.5 BB
      SB: 124 BB

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Jd Ad

      fold, fold, MP raises to 3 BB, Hero calls 3 BB, fold, BTN calls 3 BB, fold, fold

      Flop: (10.5 BB, 3 players) Th Qc 7h
      MP checks, Hero checks, BTN checks

      Turn: (10.5 BB, 3 players) Kc
      MP checks, Hero bets 10 BB, BTN calls 10 BB, fold

      River: (30.5 BB, 2 players) 7s
      Hero bets 29 BB, BTN raises to 58 BB, Hero raises to ??

      BTN 80-20 loose passive sherriff (previously called two bullets with small pair and no draw on K high board)

      Do we go for the whole lot and move him all in with a 108BB raise (BTN was deep from some successful thin calls) or do we make a more reasonable raise, perhaps an extra 60 BB (making it 115 to go)?
  • 3 replies
    • liguolong
      Joined: 18.03.2010 Posts: 731
      If you want to raise, raise it all in. I think he is has at least a 7 here. And probably he won't fold 7 to shove. The next problem is how often does he beat you here. If he is that loose as you pointed out, then he probably have more 9J or 7x types of hands than full house, which makes it better to shove. Otherwise, you should just call.
    • kymupa
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364

      What about MP though? Do we know anything about him? Usually I don't like calling in this spot with this hand since it is only likely to get us into trouble postflop.

      On the flop checking is fine.

      On the turn I like your bet.

      On the river I would bet slightly smaller, but if you expect him to call even with this sizing then go for it.
      When he raises I really don't want to go broke for almost 200bb on a paired board, so I would just call his minraise.

      PS: Please, read this thread.

    • roopopper
      Joined: 31.12.2010 Posts: 4,289
      is this hand in the wrong section?