[NL2-NL10] nl4sh KK IP vs drawy board and x/r on flop

    • EnterG
      EnterG
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.01.2010 Posts: 632
      Boss, $0.02/$0.04 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $0.81 (20.3 bb)
      BTN: $3.95 (98.8 bb)
      SB: $4.28 (107 bb)
      BB: $18.24 (456 bb)
      Hero (UTG): $3.93 (98.3 bb)
      MP: $2.58 (64.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with K K
      Hero raises to $0.16, MP calls $0.16, 2 folds, SB calls $0.14, BB folds

      Flop: ($0.52) 2 8 7 (3 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.40, MP folds, SB raises to $1.32, Hero raises to $3.77 and is all-in, SB calls $2.45

      Turn: ($8.06) 2 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
      River: ($8.06) 7 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      Results:
      $8.06 pot ($0.80 rake)
      Final Board: 2 8 7 2 7
      SB showed 8 8 and won $7.26 ($3.33 net)
      Hero showed K K and lost (-$3.93 net)
      MP mucked and lost (-$0.16 net)


      Opponent is kinda LAG.Stats : vpip 24 / pfr 22 / af 3 / 140 hands only.In this small sample as i notice later he has high fold to steal stat (100 so far).
      One of the worst flops.
      As i made some calculations with equilab i made some thoughts :

      1)Opponent range for his move (x/r).
      22,77,88,78,any XdXd,and maybe AdX KdX.Against this range i am behind sth like 65-35%.On flop i need 0.8 to call so its ~ 0.8/2.2= 36% needed equity.

      So if i call i am kinda correct with my thought (am I?) and make a new decision on turn maybe.

      2)i decided to push to protect my hand against so many draws.Opponent so far WTS 31 / W$SD 56.Did i made a correct choise there ?

      Thanks !
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,698
      Hi.

      Bet/fold Flop. common mistake is to overplay on monotone boards. You'll find that you are crushed by any reasonable range.

      Usually his range will contain sets, flushes, and some flush draws. You have at most 30%+ equity vs such a range. your playability is also terrible so I'm not bet/calling.

      Thanks.