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[NL20-NL50] NL20 SH Top Set AA overplayed

    • NightShadePMC
      Joined: 16.11.2010 Posts: 800
      €0.10/€0.20 No Limit Holdem
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by

      UTG (€20) 100bb
      UTG+1 (€9.84) 49bb
      CO (€24.07) 120bb
      Her0 (BTN) (€20) 100bb
      SB (€23.70) 119bb
      BB (€20) 100bb

      Pre-Flop: (€0.30, 6 players) Her0 is BTN A:club: A:spade:
      3 folds, Her0 raises to €0.40, 1 fold, BB calls €0.20

      Flop: 4:spade: 8:spade: 7:heart: (€0.90, 2 players)
      BB checks, Her0 bets €0.68, BB calls €0.68

      Turn: A:heart: (€2.26, 2 players)
      BB checks, Her0 bets €1.80, BB calls €1.80

      River: Q:heart: (€5.86, 2 players)
      BB bets €2.93, Her0 goes all-in €17.12

      Villain seems like a weak reg I've seen him make some fishy plays, also has a pretty big VPIP/PFR gap - VPIP: 28, PFR: 20, 3B: 12, AF: 1.6, Hands: 279
      WTSD 35

      is my shove on the river overplaying my set? I am pretty much putting him on a lower set.

      I am beat by 56s and a backdoor flush that got there.
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Nightshade,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: Can we realistically expect him to play sets so passively on such a board? I'd expect him to raise it by the turn.

      So without specific info on villain or without expecting him to play random Ax like this (and call a raise) we can just call the river. In my opinion his bet is either a block bet or inducer bet with a heart backdoor. There are few backdoor flushes but they still have some like 89/8T etc given that we min raised preflop.

      So I think that just calling wouldn't be a mistake.