[NL20-NL50] AA ip on paired board

    • legand73
      legand73
      Bronze
      Joined: 01.06.2010 Posts: 4,135
      Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $10 (100 bb)
      SB: $13.04 (130.4 bb)
      BB: $10.35 (103.5 bb)
      UTG: $10.20 (102 bb)
      Hero (MP): $14.28 (142.8 bb)
      CO: $28.63 (286.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with A A
      UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.30, 3 folds, BB calls $0.20

      Flop: ($0.65) K 3 K (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks

      Turn: ($0.65) 5 (2 players)
      BB bets $0.45, Hero calls $0.45

      River: ($1.55) 7 (2 players)
      BB bets $1.10, Hero raises to $3, BB calls $1.90

      Results:
      $7.55 pot ($0.34 rake)
      Final Board: K 3 K 5 7
      BB showed A K and won $7.21 ($3.46 net)
      Hero showed A A and lost (-$3.75 net)


      Does playing Aces in this way make sense?

      On the flop i decided not to cbet considering the amount of fold equity i'd be getting and i'm not worrying about balancing my lines. on the turn i imagine i'm up against pockets (66-JJ, maybe A5 ) and on the river i raise for value imagining i'd get called by 88-JJ. I would most likely have folded to a shove on the river
  • 4 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Heya,

      He should call almost all pairs on the flop so I'd definitely just cbet. As played, you assume he bluffs very often in which case I think your river raise is too thin. You need a very good idea of how your opponent thinks to raise for value vs JJ-88 there. Most often you end up getting called or raised by Kx+.
    • legand73
      legand73
      Bronze
      Joined: 01.06.2010 Posts: 4,135
      If i cbet i'm getting so much fold equity though because the flop is so dry? I put him on a range something like this: TT-22,AJs-A2s,KTs+,QTs+,J9s+,T8s+,98s,87s,76s,AQo-ATo,KTo+,QTo+,JTo. on that flop i Imagine i get around 67% fold equity.I figured that letting him see a free card wouldn't be too bad and it might induce pockets to have a stab.

      If i did cbet the flop would i cbet turn and river aswell?

      In hindsight i agree that the raise is quite thin
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      A 100bb player will rarely have hands like these in his range vs MP:
      ATo,KTo,QTo,JTo. Even the suited versions of those are not 100% so that's why I expect you to have less folding equity. I'm not totally against checking, it has its merits but I believe people fold too little vs a cbet to warrant a check back to 'let him catch up a bit' because his catchup hands are many pairs that improve to a better hands or middle cards. Middle cards can call one bet like pairs can on the flop. However, some middle cards give him the best hand (not too much) but more importantly imo, the middle cards scare his lower pairs. T+ can be a scare card once you check back since he now cannot call easily with most of his previous value range. I think he will have more small to medium pairs willing to call than hands like QJs, that hit a pair and pay you off then..

      Makes sense?
    • legand73
      legand73
      Bronze
      Joined: 01.06.2010 Posts: 4,135
      yeah that's great thanks. I guess that range is quite loose and a lot of turn cards would be worse for his range like a T+