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[NL20-NL50] triple barrel?

    • daisuke3823
      daisuke3823
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.02.2008 Posts: 8,321
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      ハンドをプレーする

      $0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
      Known players:
      BU (Hero):
      $30.03
      SB:
      $14.57
      BB:
      $24.87
      MP2:
      $63.24
      MP3:
      $26.97
      CO:
      $19.55

      Preflop: Hero is BU with J, T.
      3 folds, Hero raises to $0.50, SB calls $0.40, BB folds.

      Flop: ($1.25) 2, 5, A (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.60, SB calls $0.60.

      Turn: ($2.45) 6 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $1.50, SB calls $1.50.

      River: ($5.45) T (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks.

      Final Pot: $5.45.
      31 hands vpip21 pfr14 af0.5 wtsd50

      can I triple barrel here?
      I think he has AQ,AJ,AT .
      I think I can fold out his hands if I overbet on the river,what you think ?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Hi.

      I don't think your TX is good too often. He should 3bet AQ a fair amount of the time. So that leaves him with mostly AJ and AT. AT is improved by the river, and we are not guaranteed to fold out AJ.

      I don't like betting here unless we had better reads about his tendencies. Besides, WTSD is 50%, though I think your sample is really low, probably 1 out of 2 times.

      Not going to take the chance here.

      Thanks.