[NL20-NL50] Call or jam river?

    • maheepsangari
      maheepsangari
      Gold
      Joined: 08.06.2010 Posts: 2,163
      IPoker, $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (BB): $25.30 (126.5 bb)
      UTG: $22.24 (111.2 bb) 32/25/3.0/20.0/40/250
      MP: $30.29 (151.5 bb)
      CO: $5.64 (28.2 bb)
      BTN: $10.42 (52.1 bb)
      SB: $21.10 (105.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with J K
      UTG raises to $0.60, 4 folds, Hero calls $0.40

      Flop: ($1.30) K 3 8 (2 players)
      Hero checks, UTG bets $0.80, Hero calls $0.80

      Turn: ($2.90) 4 (2 players)
      Hero checks, UTG checks

      River: ($2.90) 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.17, UTG raises to $9.41, Hero calls $7.24

      I think if I jam everything but Ace high flush folds. A friend thinks otherwise, thats why I posted this hand.
  • 2 replies
    • jules97
      jules97
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.06.2012 Posts: 1,449
      If he isn't horrible, I think jamming is going to turn out sad face.
    • w34z3l
      w34z3l
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,295
      Hey maheepsangari,

      Not a huge fan of the preflop call, OOP and probably behind villain's range. You will suffer from reverse implied odds here on K high and J high boards.

      You have to call at least one street on the flop with top pair on dry board.

      River - I think it's very rare villain is bluffing here. He usually has at least 55, probably a flush. I really don't see villain folding a flush to a 3bet here ever, even if he realises he might be beat.

      However in terms of combos the board kinda screws you in this spot. Let's assume he can open any suited Ace and any suited connector 67s+. 67 beats you with straight flush. That leaves....uh....9Ts. Every other SC is blocked! On the other hand there are like 7 combos of suited Aces.

      So unless villain is opening stuff like a bunch of suited 1 and 2 gappers you never have a value shove on river. Even the river call is close with good pot odds, you certainly can't shove for value imo.