[NL20-NL50] oesd vs cold call

    • AriGold1980
      AriGold1980
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.05.2010 Posts: 812
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BB: $50 (100 bb)
      MP: $63.86 (127.7 bb)
      CO: $48.87 (97.7 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $50 (100 bb)
      SB: $80 (160 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with 7 9
      MP folds, CO raises to $1.75, Hero raises to $6.25, SB folds, BB calls $5.75, CO folds

      Flop: ($14.50) 8 6 J (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $7.25, BB raises to $14.50, Hero calls $7.25

      Turn: ($43.50) K (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero ??

      Villain is 27/23/9 on 79 hands
      Show I take the free card or should I shove ?
  • 3 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Arigold,

      I am leaning towards a shove here because villain can have bluffs or light raises of Jx and he may fold that on the turn.

      If we check back we only win if we call.

      However, why not shove the flop? Do you expect him to only raise value?
    • AriGold1980
      AriGold1980
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.05.2010 Posts: 812
      Originally posted by BogdanPS
      Hi Arigold,

      I am leaning towards a shove here because villain can have bluffs or light raises of Jx and he may fold that on the turn.

      If we check back we only win if we call.

      However, why not shove the flop? Do you expect him to only raise value?
      When he cold calls my 3b preflop I don't expect him to bluff raise me often so yes I think he does it only as value .
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by AriGold1980
      Originally posted by BogdanPS
      Hi Arigold,

      I am leaning towards a shove here because villain can have bluffs or light raises of Jx and he may fold that on the turn.

      If we check back we only win if we call.

      However, why not shove the flop? Do you expect him to only raise value?
      When he cold calls my 3b preflop I don't expect him to bluff raise me often so yes I think he does it only as value .
      If you really only expect value then it's hard to imagine him folding on the turn at all so checking back becomes the best option.

      Though, I still think that he can bluff hands like AQ/AK or pairs, especially if we've been active and 3-betting a lot.