[NL20-NL50] nuts flush against shove

    • mlatasrb
      Joined: 01.04.2012 Posts: 2,720
      iPoker - $0.20 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      Hero (BB): 118.15 BB
      UTG: 148.05 BB
      MP: 266.65 BB
      CO: 60.25 BB
      BTN: 40.5 BB
      SB: 109.05 BB

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 3:diamond: A:diamond:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, SB raises to 3 BB, Hero calls 2 BB

      Flop: (6 BB, 2 players) A:club: 4:diamond: J:diamond:
      SB bets 4.5 BB, Hero calls 4.5 BB

      Turn: (15 BB, 2 players) 6:diamond:
      SB bets 11.25 BB, Hero calls 11.25 BB

      River: (37.5 BB, 2 players) A:spade:
      SB checks, Hero bets 30 BB, SB raises to 90.3 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 60.3 BB

      Hero mucks 3:diamond: A:diamond: (Flush, Ace High) (Pre 45%, Flop 62%, Turn 93%)
      SB shows 6:club: A:heart: (Full House, Aces full of Sixes) (Pre 55%, Flop 38%, Turn 7%)
      SB wins 207.2 BB

      12 hands on him 33/33

      should I raise turn? It looks to me as pure bluff, because even with set he shouldnt bet so confident. If he has set or flush, it anyways calls my shove on river. River fold? he could do it with flush, maybe AK, AQ if he overplays. but the whole line is strange, why would he check river with nuts on so dangerous board.
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi mla,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: Why wouldn't he check the river to us? Our entire turn calling range is split in two: either a part that folds (really weak bluffcatchers) or a part that we can valuebet - Ax, flushes,etc. Sure we can check back some Ax but most people don't.

      Now back to our line. Without knowing much about villain I wouldn't expect a 3-barrel bluff on this board so I rather raise the turn small to get value from pair +draw, sets, 2p that can't fold. We don't need to raise big, 26-29BB is enough and it sets up the river nicely.

      As far as the river bet/call goes can you see a worse hand raising us? I doubt many flushes play ck/raise, especially since he doesn't have the nut one and I doubt he ck/raises AK/AQ on that board. So I think it is a bet/fold at 20nl.