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[NL2-NL10] NL10 89s combo draw OOP

    • Absolutism
      Joined: 09.08.2008 Posts: 4,372
      Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP: $8.61 (86.1 bb)
      CO: $13.35 (133.5 bb)
      BTN: $5.23 (52.3 bb)
      SB: $2.38 (23.8 bb)
      Hero (BB): $10.37 (103.7 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 9 8
      MP folds, CO raises to $0.30, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.20

      Flop: ($0.65) 5 2 K (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $0.40, Hero raises to $1.30, CO calls $0.90

      Turn: ($3.25) 8 (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.30, CO calls $2.30

      River: ($7.85) J (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $7.40, Hero folds

      $7.85 pot ($0.35 rake)
      Final Board: 5 2 K 8 J
      CO mucked and won $7.50 ($3.60 net)
      Hero mucked 9 8 and lost (-$3.90 net)

      Opponent is a 26/22 AF: 2.3 reg. I have very low samplesize on him (90 hands), and he had 11% Wtsd, probably just variance.

      Flop raise is standard i guess, on the turn i decided to barrel, but its close, because he will almost never fold a hand he called the flop raise with, and if he raises, i have to fold here. But if i check/call, he will know exactly what i have.

      River is very strange. I mean, he cant have a set/2 pair, he would have raised on flop or turn. The strongest hand he can have is AK maybe. Can i shove here as a bluff and expect a ton of folds here?

      Another question: what hand can he shove on the river? Would KQ push here? I dont think so, most made hands would check back here. So only KJ can pretty much go all in here, and other flushdraws which missed. I was thinking about herocalling here with a pair of 8's, but i decided it would be too spewy for NL10. But still, can we call here?
  • 1 reply
    • kymupa
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364

      Preflop I think calling is fine.

      Any information about his cbet would be great.
      Usually, I'm just check/calling here. We can't represent much on this board, we are OOP and we can be overflushed easily.

      As played on the flop, considering his low WTSD I would just bet/bet/bet to try make him fold his Kx. Otherwise I would just check and decide what to do on the turn.

      What he shoves on the river - well, it is questionable here. Considering his low WTSD he might shove busted draws here, also probably hand like AK/AA or a slowplayed set.
      Don't really think that KQ shoves here.