[NL2-NL10] JJ vs Bu fish

    • cozacu
      cozacu
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.02.2010 Posts: 1,379
      $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
      Prima
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      UTG ($4) 40bb
      UTG+1 ($11.63) 116bb
      CO ($48.85) 489bb
      BTN ($6.54) 65bb
      cozacu (SB) ($11.37) 114bb
      BB ($7.70) 77bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 6 players) cozacu is SB J:club: J:spade:
      2 folds, CO raises to $0.30, BTN calls $0.30, cozacu raises to $1.10, 1 fold, CO folds, BTN calls $0.80

      Flop: 7:club: Q:diamond: 7:heart: ($2.30, 2 players)
      cozacu bets $1.40, BTN goes all-in $5.44, cozacu calls $4.04

      Turn: K:heart: ($11.78, 2 players, 1 all-in)

      River: 7:spade: ($11.78, 2 players, 1 all-in)

      Final Pot: $11.78

      villain 56/30 29hands
      Co 26/20 Reg

      PF = i thought I`m ahead of CO`s opening range, and i would rather play just against the fish from BU because Im OOP and it will be difficult to continue on any Q,K,A board OOP with multiple opponents.

      FLop= i tanked a ton, and then i made the call... simply because I thoght the money was worth of having some additional info on how the fish plays... his instant shove also looked strange because i would expect Qx mostly to simply call here, same goes for 7x(witch is also quite unlikely)

      I though his range looked like :88,99,TT,Qx,AK...

      Question: Do you agree with the range I assigned to villan?
      Is the call horrible?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Cozacu,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: We need 34% equity. I doubt villain shoves 7x often but I can see plenty of Qx (especially low ones playing like this).

      I think the call will be fine because I think we have the best hand 2 out 3 times to at least breakeven however it will be a higher variance play in the short term. And here I'm assuming villain is not a complete nit.
      The other problem we have that will reduce our profit here is the fact that villains bluff shoving range most likely has more equity versus us than our hand does versus his value range (Qx, rare 7x).