[NL20-NL50] Valueraise River?

    • MindGrind
      Joined: 06.07.2006 Posts: 1,108
      Hey guys,


      CO opens 31% and is folding to 3bets 67%.

      I played the hand on a fast poker table, so no history between us.

      No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      Hero (BTN): $50.00
      SB: $97.22
      BB: $119.62
      UTG: $99.85
      MP: $104.30
      CO: $68.59

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BTN with J :spade: K :club:
      2 folds, CO raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $4, SB calls $3.75, 2 folds

      Flop: ($10.00) Q :club: J :heart: A :club: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks

      Turn: ($10.00) J :club: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $6.50, SB calls $6.50

      River: ($23.00) 5 :spade: (2 players)
      SB bets $10.92, Hero raises to $39.50 all in

      Do you like a valueraise on the river or do you think it is too thin?

      Board: QcJhAcJc5s
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 64.29% 64.29% 0.00% { KcJs }
      MP3 35.71% 35.71% 0.00% { AA, QQ, AJs+, QJs, AJo+ }

      hmm now that I think about it, he is probably not leading AK and AQ on the river. On the table I thought due to his small betsize he could level himself into calling a shove. But when those hands are not in his betting range, the shove is pretty bad I guess.

      Tell me what you think about the hand :)
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      I think you should flat pre given how wide his range is. I like the flop check, river shove may be thin but we have Kc blocker. Lets consider other stuff first.

      It boils down to how wide he is flatting preflop. If he could show up with many more worse JX hands then i like the shove more. Im not sure why the popup isnt showing properly on my phone, ill assume this guy is a reg.

      I dont think he is leading river with AX thin value hands. At the very least he has AQ here. But its a 3straight board and theres a flush on board too. Overall i think the range u gave him is way too optimistic and i would think thst there is no value in a raise vs a 45%pot bet. If he bets 8 or less then i like it more.