[NL20-NL50] #5 AA nl20

    • ilidek
      Joined: 06.07.2010 Posts: 3,089
      BB: $24.91 (124.6 bb)
      UTG: $35.37 (176.8 bb)
      MP: $20 (100 bb)
      Hero (CO): $22.97 (114.9 bb)
      BTN: $25.09 (125.5 bb)
      SB: $19.60 (98 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with A:club: A:heart:
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.60, 2 folds, BB calls $0.40

      Flop: ($1.30) 6:diamond: J:club: 2:heart: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1, BB raises to $24.31 and is all-in, Hero calls $21.37

      Turn: ($46.04) 8:spade: (2 players, 1 is all-in)
      River: ($46.04) 5:heart: (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      vs unk it was his second or third hand

      this is my range for agro fish:
      Stół: J 6 2
      Equity Wygrana Podział
      MP2 49.29% 49.29% 0.00% { AA }
      MP3 50.71% 50.71% 0.00% { KK-JJ, 66, 22, J6s, J2s, 62s }

      but I think there is a lot more pasive fish than agresive one so should I fold here?
  • 1 reply
    • imfromsweden007
      Joined: 11.10.2008 Posts: 726

      I think we should probably discount KK-JJ somewhat since he might 3bet them pre + might not just randomly ship over your cbet with top set.

      A lot of fish are going to be unlikely to just ship over your cbet with the nuts, they are going to do a tricky small raise to get more money in there. Often when they overshove like this it's with a hand that is strong, but not so strong that they feel invincible with it. I would expect to see a lot of 2pairs in his range, but also stuff like AJ/KJ and similar. So versus such a range there is definitely no chance I'm folding. I snap this all the way to the bank.