[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH - KK: overpair vs raise flop

    • Lunitis
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,131
      BU: 61/14
      413 hands

      SB: 25/24
      9% squeeze
      7.3% 3bet vs utg
      35% fold vs cbet
      22% raise cbet
      11k hands

      Hero (UTG): $106.16 (212.3 bb)
      MP: $19.75 (39.5 bb)
      CO: $52 (104 bb)
      BTN: $35.85 (71.7 bb)
      SB: $41.86 (83.7 bb)
      BB: $22.30 (44.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with K:heart: K:spade:
      Hero raises to $1.50, 2 folds, BTN calls $1.50, SB folds, BB calls $1

      Flop: ($4.75) 3:spade: Q:spade: T:club: (3 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $3.50, BTN calls $3.50, BB raises to $9.76, Hero ?

      I think he will squeeze TT/JJ pre-flop, he can have QT also, but he is raising cbets so often, maybe he will raise AQ hero for value, and the board allows lots of draws. I dont think i can fold, can i? I even have some suck out equity..
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Lunitis,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: I think that villain will squeeze a lot of hands like AQ preflop, especially AQs so his flop range is Qx/draws and 33/QTs (5 combos).

      I think that calling and raising are both options. We should take the line that maximizes the profit versus the fish and the fish is a station we can just raise it here.

      But I think I would most likely call and ship/call any turn.