[NL2-NL10] NL10 A7 2pair vs turn minraise

    • Absolutism
      Joined: 09.08.2008 Posts: 4,372
      Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (BTN): $10 (100 bb)
      SB: $10.64 (106.4 bb)
      BB: $19.08 (190.8 bb)
      MP: $11.61 (116.1 bb)
      CO: $16.58 (165.8 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with 7 A
      MP calls $0.10, CO folds, Hero raises to $0.40, 2 folds, MP calls $0.30

      Flop: ($0.95) T 7 2 (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $0.64, MP calls $0.64

      Turn: ($2.23) A (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $2, MP raises to $4, Hero folds

      $6.23 pot ($0.28 rake)
      Final Board: T 7 2 A
      Hero mucked 7 A and lost (-$3.04 net)
      MP mucked and won $5.95 ($2.91 net)

      39/11 AF: 1.2 AFQ:24/36/50 WTSD: 24 (56 hands)

      He seemed like a passive fish, im not sure if he can do this with a simple draw. Sets, AT are very possible, as well as some combo draws, i was unsure what to do, then i timed out...i just hate minraises, they look so strong to me.
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694

      I'm definitely folding one pair hands. but with A7 and the 2 flush draws out I think it's really close. I'm definitely not folding AT, and I think A7 is kind of close. I do agree that it's not too likely for him to be on a flush draw but still there's the super small possibility.

      Board: Tc7h2hAc
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 38.35% 29.17% 9.19% { Ad7d }
      MP3 61.65% 52.46% 9.19% { TT, 77, 22, ATs, A7s, A2s, T7s, ATo, A7o, A2o }

      We are getting sufficient odds on the Turn but we probably have to face another river bet. So I think folding is fine, though it's close.